Friday, December 23, 2011

Morning Commentary 231211

Good Morning,

1) KULIM: Shareholders have given the go-ahead for the company to buy six parcels of oil palm plantation land in Johor for RM700mil cash from Johor Corp (JCORP). This sale is a major component of the JCORP's rationalization exercise. The 6 parcels of oil palm land have a total area of 13,687 hectares and 2 palm oil mills. This land buy in addition to the sale of QSR and KFC will see Kulim focus on its core plantation business.  

2) MAS: MAS has announced the suspension of four more routes, following up on the rationalization involving 8 routes that was announced last week. The routes that will be suspended include the twice-weekly Kota Kinabalu (KK)-Osaka, thrice-weekly KK-Perth, four-times weekly KK-Tokyo and four-times weekly KK-Seoul. These routes will be suspended starting from early next year and will be reviewed in 3 months from its suspension date. MAS will instead take advantage of its existing code-share operations with Korea Air to provide direct connectivity between Sabah and Korea. 

3) PROTON: Khazanah MD Tan Sri Azman Mokhtar said that any sale done will be on Khazanah's full 42.7% stake which means it will involve a general offer. They have been receiving offers for various forms of collaborations including acquiring its controlling stake in Proton but have not arrived at any decision to sell to any particular offeror. Among the serious bidders are DRBHCOM and Naza Group while Sime and US-based General Motors may also be interested. 

4) Mkt: improving US economic data & positive technicals continue to be supportive for higher markets ahead.

Thursday, December 22, 2011

Market Roundup 221211

FBM30 1491.46, +6.48 points (+0.44%), Volume 1,204mil, Value 1,016mil 
      
1) KLCI flitted around overnight lvls the whole day before a surge in buying in select blues lifted index to close at day's high in last half hour of trading. Noticeable interest was seen in banks following several announcements by BNM,unveiling plans to develop a strong financial system with more flexible foreign shareholding in FIs, implementation of Basel III norms in phases from 2013 to 2019 and raise issuance of government bonds resulted in MAYBANK+1%, HLBANK+3%, AFG+2.1%, AFFIN+1.4% and select situationals: UEMLAND+3.9%, MMCCORP+1.6%, PPB+1.4. Market breadth was negative amid a relatively low volume with losers thrashing gainers 455:290. Futures closed 1495 (4 points premium).    

2) Heavyweights: MAYBANK+1% RM8.45, GENTING+1.3% RM10.76, TENAGA+1.2% RM5.79, CIMB+0.7% RM7.00, HLBANK+3% RM10.86, PBBANK+0.5% RM13.26, PPB+1.4% RM17.10, UEMLAND+3.9% RM2.39, AIRASIA+1.1% RM3.70, YTL-2% RM1.51 

3) DBT: ECOFIRS 20.3mil @ RM0.10, BJLAND 15.6mil @ RM0.95, UNICO5mil @ RM1.20 

4) Situationals: 

ENVAIR-17.2% RM0.265: Share price was under selling pressure in active trade after Carpet Raya Sdn Bhd director Deepak Jaikishan ceased to be a substantial shareholder in the loss-making company after emerging as s/h just early this month. A filing with Bursa Malaysia on Dec 21 showed that Deepak had disposed 6mil Envair shares in the open market on Dec 14.

CYPARK+2.3% RM1.36: Company expects to generate annual revenue of up to RM17mil from the sales of renewable energy (RE) upon full commencement of the RE park. Cypark said it had obtained Feed-in Tariffs (FiT) approval from Sustainable Energy Development Authority to supply 8MW and and 2MW of RE from solar PV and landfill biogas sources, respectively. With the approval, Cypark would be able to sign RE PPA with TENAGA for Fit concession periods of 21 and 16 years respectively for electricity generated from solar PV and landfill biogas.

5) Muhibah's 50:50 JV with Monadelphous Group Limited has been awarded a major contract valued at approximately AUD330 million (RM1.05bn)for the construction of an approach jetty and ship berth associated with the Wiggins Island Coal Export Terminal Pty Ltd's (WICET) Project at Gladstone in Queensland, Australia. The contract includes the construction of offshore plant and infrastructure including a 1.8km approach jetty and transfer tower platform, wharf, wharf conveyor including the drive and take up tower, berthing and mooring dolphins, ship access platforms, jetty conveyor and transfer tower. The work, which is part of stage one of the project, is scheduled to start immediately and be completed by first quarter of 2014. Stage one has a contracted annual coal export capacity of 27 million tonnes with fully developed terminal having an annual capacity of more than 80 million tonnes.

Comment: +ve as co expands marine related infra works into advanced countries such as Australia and adds to current infra orderbk of RM2.3bn. Trades at PER 7.5x-trading buy as stk has not recovered from 30% drop frm recent peak following APF receivership resolution and increase in OB recently. 

6) Mkt - Expectations of improved US consumer confidence numbers tonight and higher personal spending growth tomorrow will spur confidence in mkts ahead of long Xmas break.

Newz Bits 221211


Highlights of the day
§         Economics (Consumer Price Index): November 2011 Statistics: Stable and possibly moderating [download report]
November inflation was stable and showed signs of moderation. It grew at a slower pace of 3.3% y-o-y, compared to 3.4% y-o-y last month. Core inflation suggested moderation as well; it registered growth of 2.1% y-o-y, compared to the recent maximum of 2.5% y-o-y registered back in June 2011. This may relieve pressure to hike the OPR in January 2012.

§         Economics (Leading Economic Indicator): October 2011 Statistics: The near future looks okay still [download report]
The leading indicator suggests that the economy will still be growing in the near future. The leading index grew 2.4% y-o-y in October. The coincident index meanwhile indicated that economic activities in the month also registered growth (1.3% y-o-y) to concur with the relatively favorable figures produced by the October Industrial Production Index.

Other reports
§         Newz Bits [download report]

Other Malaysian news
§         DRB-Hicom: Swaps land status in RM76m deal
§         Boustead Holdings: No plan to privatise unit
§         KFC-QSR: Accept MESB's takeover offer
§         LBS Bina: Upbeat on RM800m sales target
§         Cypark Resources: Sees RM17m revenue from renewable energy
§         Fajarbaru: Unit bags government deal
§         Banking: Malaysia flexible on new licences in financial sector
§         Banking: Blueprint to develop a strong financial ecosystem
§         Construction: Posco/Daewoo tipped to win Ampang LRT project
§         Oil & Gas: Petronas sells diesel and jet fuel to Bangladesh
§         Media: Vasseti to launch IPTV service in February
§         Economy: Government maintains 2011 & 2012 GDP forecasts

Global news
§         US: Sales of existing homes rise from deep slump
§         Europe: Banks devour ECB emergency funds amid frozen markets
§         UK: Greek debt talks hit trouble as hedge fund walks out
§         Japan: BOJ seen holding fire, may offer somber view of economy
§         Japan: Exports slide a second month as Europe takes toll


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