Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Morning Call | 24 December 2014



BENALEC RM0.59 - The share price has fallen c30% over the last 2 months. This translates to attractive multiples of 8.9x & 7.7x for FY6/15 & 16 ( vs mid cap construction industry PER average of 10-13x). The group recently disposed off 9 pieces of land in Malacca amounting to 58.6 acres for cash consideration of RM107m. The sale will help provide earnings visibility for at least the next 2 years. Group still has about 341 acres of land in Malacca and Pulau Indah which are held for sale, which could be worth cRM595m. Benalec’s near term earnings visibility has improved, but key re-rating catalyst remains it’s Johor project and the signing of the SPA with 1MY Strategic Terminal Oil for 1000 acres of land in Tanjung Piai. A detailed EIA has been submitted to the Dept of Environment. MACD has just cut up with RSI @ 35 - Trading Buy ( TP RM0.78 based on 10x FY16). (AK) 


MAYBULK RM1.14 - Following the poor Q3 results, the share price has eased c20% . Group is now trading at P/Bk of 0.63x ( vs 4 year historical average of 1.3x), translating to a PER of 16x for FY12/15. At current levels, we reckon most of the negatives have been reflected in the price. Earnings risks such as lower anticipated dry bulk charter rates and lower contribution from its 20% SGX-listed associate, POSH Group, have been more than reflected in price. Ahead, the weaker Ringgit against the US Dollar and lower bunker fuel prices could lend support to Maybulk’s earnings. The Seaborne Chinese iron ore imports are projected to rise, mainly driven by strong expansion of Australian iron ore production capacity, will also auger well for demand of Maybulk’s vessels. POSH’s headwind in it’s Mexican JV due to non payment by clients, is also being managed. Technically, MACD has just cut upwards with RSI @ 38 - Opportunity to accumulate. (AK)

Morning Call | 23 December 2014

TUNEINS (RM1.60): Since retracing from its recent high of RM2.20 share price has consolidated well at the RM1.60 level after touching a low of RM1.53 with RSI at 33%. TuneIns main growth business segment in travel insurance (TI) is shielded because of improving regional growth, especially in core countries of Thailand & Indonesia as well as falling oil prices. Currently trades at 13.5xFY15 PER with CAGR exceeding 20% for next 2 years. Accumulate with TP: RM2.00. (TYK)


MMCCORP (RM2.36): Share price closed above its double bottom neckline of RM2.34 offering a short term upside potential of RM2.52 (16sen). MMC is also a potential beneficiary of year end closing next week. We believe current levels offers limited downside as it trades near its 5 year key support level of RM2.20 level. Key catalyst will be the listing of Malakoff in 2Q2015 while recent acquisition of NCB could see MMC leveraging on NCB as a vehicle to list both MMC’s port businesses i.e. PTP and Johor Port. MMC is also a major beneficiary of Malaysia’s infra play with 2014 orderbook replenishment hitting RM1.4bn bringing outstanding orderbook to RM3.4bn. MMC (in a consortium with Sumitomo) is also tipped for the HSR contract. Accumulate with TP: RM3.21 (20% discount to SOP). (TYK)

Morning Call | 22 December 2014

POS (RM4.45) – Recent selldown from weaker results due to higher staff and transportation cost presents a buying opportunity as valuations is compelling compared to industry peers. Transportation cost which account for 13% of overall cost will naturally be lower with current sharp dip in oil prices. Earnings growth is still mainly driven by its courier services with its 5 yr transformation plan in place to ensure earnings stability. Trading at only 14.8x forward PE vs SingPos 22.8x and global average 20x, we rate it a buy with an immediate target of RM5.00.(DN)

YTLPower (RM1.51) – Current weakness attributable to its expiry of its domestic PPAs in Sept 2015. However there is a strong likelihood of an extension with the reserve margin falling below acceptable levels with the immediate shutdown. Major shareholders have also been adding to their holdings to currently 49.9%. The stock is trading off its low of RM1.43 with an immediate upside of RM1.80. Buy with a current attractive yield of 6.6%. (DN)