Thursday, December 13, 2012

News Bits | 13 Dec 2012


Highlights of the day
§  S P Setia (Results Review): 4QFY12: Sales exceeded target (Maintain HOLD, TP: RM3.70) [download report]
SP Setia’s FY2012 results met our expectations but was below market’s as net profit of RM394m made up 99% and 82% of house (adjusted) and consensus full-year estimates, respectively. 4QFY12 saw net profit growth 54% y-o-y backed by higher revenue recognition mainly from its property development projects and better margins. The Group managed to surpass its FY2012 sales target by securing total property sales of RM4.23bn (+29% y-o-y). For FY2013, the Group is targeting sales of RM5.5bn to be driven by the Group’s existing projects and new launches. A gross final dividend of 9 sen was recommended for the quarter.
 
Other reports
§  Newz Bits [download report]
 
Other Malaysian news
§  AirAsia: To unveil order for 100 Airbus jets
§  MBSB: Buying tower in PJ Sentral
§  Berjaya Toto: May give special dividend
§  Media Prima: Forms digital arm to expand revenue
§  UOA Development: To sell building to UEM for RM173.25m
§  REDtone: Eyes RM80m revenue from data business in FY13
§  Construction: Rail decisions by 1Q
§  Media: ABN targets 80% of TV households in five years
§  Media: Rolling out digital TV may cost RM1bn
§  Telco: U Mobile works with Macro Kiosk on EMS
 
Global news
§  US: Fed links rates to joblessness, prices as bond buying expanded
§  US: Fed officials forecast main rate to stay near zero until 2015
§  Europe: EU finance ministers move toward agreement on ECB bank oversight
§  Europe: Greece plans to retire EUR31.9bn of debt in buyback

Market Roundup | 12 Dec 2012

FBM 1649.75  +8.18pts (+0.50%)      Volume  950.48mil    Value RM1,773mil
 
1) KLCI rallied for the 7th consecutive days its longest streak since early Oct as regional markets rose on optimism of more monetary stimulus from the US Federal Reserve tonight. Eurozone debt situation eased after news reported Greece drew enough bonds to its buyback of sovereign debt to meet a target necessary to obtain further aid from the IMF and EU. Market breadth was positive with gainers leading decliners 356:289. Future closed 1653.5 (4points premium).
 
2) Heavyweights: DIGI+2.04% RM5.00, AXIATA+1.1% RM6.40, PBBANK+0.63% RM15.90, TM+2.11% RM5.80, PCHEM+1.50% RM6.11, PETDAG-3.57% RM22.68, GENM-2.02% RM3.39
 
3) DBT: TENAGA 60mil @ RM6.78 (1.08% PUC, 2.45% discount), BJCORP 10mil @ RM0.55 (1.85% discount), PRTASCO 4mil @ 1.20 (12% premium)
 
4) Situational:
DRBHCOM+0.41% RM2.44: DRB-Hicom's Proton has signed an agreement to buy all engine technologies and knowledge developed by Petronas since 1997 at RM63mil. Proton will have immediate ownership of a more powerful yet fuel-efficient, naturally aspirated and turbocharged 2.0 litre- and 2.2 litre-engines. To be exact, Proton is taking over seven engine technologies with 117 technology patents from Petronas.
 
5) SP Setia: FY10/12 Rev+13% RM2.53b Net+20% RM393.8m EPS 20.51s Div 14s
 
     Results 9% above cons RM360.1m
For the current FY, the group achieved PBT of RM567m, representing a 32% increase over the preceding year. Gross profit margins rose to 34% from 28% LY. On the Property Development segment, Rev+17% while PBT+37% (higher revenue recognition from residential & commercial properties in Klang Valley, Johor Bahru & Penang. PBT increased by a higher margin from group's success in steadily increasing the selling prices through value creation). On Construction segment, Rev-31%, PBT-25% due to the completion of the Kementerian Dalam Negeri contract in Setia Tropika, JB in the previous FY. Qoq, PBT+33% due to higher profit contribution from residential & commercial properties in Klang Valley, Penang & JB. For FY12, the group achieved total sales of RM4.23b, a 29% increase from RM3.29b LY. Co has set a new sales target of RM5.5b for FY13.
 
As at end FY2012, Co has 21 ongoing projects & several new projects to be launched in FY2013. Most significantly, it targets to launch it's iconic Battersea Power Station JV project in early 2013. Despite minimal downside risk, the planned private placement, potential project risk from the Battersea development & cautiousness ahead of the upcoming GE may capped its price in the short term. BOW
 
6) Mkt: expect the KLCI to consolidate after its recent sharp rally and on approaching resistance levels.

Friday, November 2, 2012

Morning Calls | 02 Nov 2012


FLOWS
Friday, 02 November, 2012
BUY
CIMB, SUPERMX, YTL
SELL
DIALOG, IOICORP
Stock Alert
STOCK
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
ASTRO (6399)
02/11/2012
RM2.71
TRADING BUY
RM2.86
ASTRO (RM2.71) - we are making a purely technical call as we believe the stock has achieved a short term support level at RM2.71 after its initial listing high of RM3.11. Just to recap, a total of RM1.518bn shares were offered at RM3.00 consisting of Institutions incl bumi (1.258bn), Public (103.9m) and Employees (155.9m). Since listing a total of over 606m shares have been transacted at an average price of RM2.904. Short term indicators are showing signs of possible rebound back to about the RM2.86 levels with a stop loss price of RM2.68 as despite its strong cash flows and visibility in earnings, valuations by traditional yardsticks remain high at PE 30x for FYE 2013. Trading Buy
 
TEBRAU (1589)
02/11/2012
RM0.685
BUY
RM0.80
Tebrau (RM0.685) - price has drifted back down to a low of RM0.635 after the closing of its MGO by IWH in August @ RM0.76. IWH now owns 46.7% of the company after the MGO. The company has about 408ha of undeveloped land in the increasingly popular area of Iskandar, but the fact that its landbank is mostly underwater and near Pantai Senibong, which fronts Singapore's Sembawang district has deterred investors away. The entrance of IWH is seen as a game changer with their development expertise and success in the area.
Furthermore it has been appointed as the developer of 165.2ha of land in Pengerang, Kota Tingggi, by the state government. It is set to gain more future jobs as it also won a RM153.98 million job as the main contractor for site clearance and earthworks for the relocation of villagers in the Pengerang area.It also has the potential to be roped in to develop a township in the same area to support the needs of the workers of the refinery and petrochemical integrated development (Rapid) project in Pengerang. All these factors augurs well for the company's future especially with traction gaining significantly for the Iskandar Region. BUY with an immediate target of RM0.80
 
Calls for OCT Week 3 / Week 4
STOCK
Initiation Dates
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
DIJACOR (5401)
25/10/2012
RM1.04
Trading BUY
RM1.20
RM1.06
1.92%
MAXIS (6012)
25/10/2012
RM6.89
BUY
RM 7.50
RM6.97
1.16%
TRC (5054)
29/10/2012
RM0.585
BUY
RM0.73
RM0.585
0.00%
MKLAND (8893)
29/10/2012
RM0.375
BUY
RM0.465
RM0.38
1.13%
DIALOG (7277)
30/10/2012
RM2.36
BUY
RM2.58
RM2.39
1.13%
GENM (4715)
30/10/2012
RM3.48
Accumulate
RM3.80
RM3.58
2.87%
SENDAI (5205)
31/10/2012
RM1.44
BUY
RM1.65
RM1.44
0.00%
JTIASA (4383)
31/10/2012
RM2.33
Accumulate
RM2.60
RM2.29
-1.72%
MAS (3786)
01/11/2012
RM1.03
TRADING BUY
RM1.24
RM1.03
0.00%
POS (4634)
01/11/2012
RM3.02
BUY
RM3.80
RM3.04
0.66%