Thursday, May 10, 2012

Morning call | 10 May 2012


MORNING CALL                                       10 MAY 2012

FLOWS;

BUYS:  AirAsia, Dialog, Genting

SELLS:  Kencana, MPHB, UEMLand

Technical Stock Alert;

1) MMHE (RM4.88 ) - Price has been coming off from its year high of
RM5.78 ahead of its expected disappointing set of results which was announced overnight. This has pushed its price to the lowest levels since Nov 2010 with a RSI of 28. We expect a technical rebound from these levels as it is on its 5th wave down leg based on Elliot Wave theory of which upon completion could see a significant rebound. This could be in line with expected order book replenishment from parent company Petronas. Immediate resistance of RM5.28 with a possible last
leg downward of around RM4.20 on any negative news.  


Stock of the Day - TIMECOM (RM0.665)

- The share price has been aggressively sold down in the past few days to its SMA 200 day levels of RM0.665 ahead of its ex date tomorrow.
- Shares will be consolidated at 5:1 after which a capital repayment of RM50.6m will be distributed.

- Post acquisition it will also acquire Global Transit Com for RM322m via 65.9m new Time Com shares (ex consolidation) and RM88m in cash.
- This will open regional opportunities to the company to offer wholesale bandwidth services to support its fibre optic network initiatives domestically with Astro having signed up on a 10yr partnership to provide HSBB services with IPTV to high rise buildings.
- Valuation for its business remains attractive as its current market cap of RM1657m is supported by its remaining 3.5% block in Digi valued at RM1105m.
- Trading buy with an immediate upside of RM0.72 or RM3.60 ex consolidation.