Tuesday, June 12, 2012

Market Roundup | 11 June 2012

FBM30  1578.41  +7.79pts (+0.5%)     Volume 732.9m    Value  1.37b

1) The KLCI got off to a strong start as it jumped more than 11 pts higher at the opening, as investors speculated a bailout for Spanish banks will help ease Europe's debt crisis & China's trade data grew faster than expected. The index traded within a narrow 6 points range through the sessions before closing  at 1578.41 pt. Gas Malaysia Bhd made it's debut on the KLSE, closing the day with a 10% gain on it's IPO price of RM2.20. Market breath was positive, with gainers edging losers 418:262  on slightly improved volume. Futures closed 1580 pts ( 1.59 pts premium)  .

2) Heavyweights: SKPETRO +4% RM2.28, MISC +1.99% RM4.11, BOUSTEAD +1.8% RM5.20, TENAGA+1.25% RM6.48, MAXIS+0.9% RM6.48, SIME +0.6% RM9.75, CIMB+0.3% RM7.51, MAYBANK+0.3% RM8.73, GENTING+0.2% RM9.58.

3) DBT: BJASSET 10m @ 0.83, MEDAINC 1.5m @ 0.70

4) Situationals: 

TENAGA +1.25% RM6.48 : On media reports that there would be major rate cuts on 1st generation IPPs. The rate could be lowered by some 80%, according to industry sources. It was also suggested that although some of the agreements will expire from 2016 onwards, if the IPPs were successful in obtaining the extension, the cut in rates would commence immediately.

5) YINSON (YHB)
Announce that it had entered into a consortium agreement with Petrovietnam Technical Services Corporation ("PTSC") in relation to execution and performance of the engineering, procurement, construction and installation contract and the bareboat charter contract for the provision and charter of a floating production, storage and off-loading ("FPSO") facility 

PTSC and YHB have agreed to jointly provide the FPSO to PTSC under the terms of the Contracts, and PTSC will onward charter to Lam Son Joint Operating Company. The Contracts will be negotiated by PTSC with the participation of YHB. PTSC will lead all discussions, clarifications and negotiations and shall keep YHB informed on the negotiations taking place.

The indicative value of the Bareboat Charter Contract is as follows, the tenure of the contract is for a firm period of seven years having the option to extend on an annual basis for a further period of three years ; and the total contract value is USD737.30 million  for ten years (ie. USD516.11 million for the Firm Period and USD221.19 million for the Extension Period).

The equity participation ratio of the Parties in the JVC shall be in accordance with their proportionate share of PTSC : 51.0% and YHB : 49.0%

It is envisaged by the Parties that up to thirty percent of the estimated project cost of USD400 million, or USD120 million shall be contributed by the Parties in accordance with their Proportionate Share in the JVC. In accordance with the Proportionate Share, the estimated funding from each Party shall be as followed: PTSC (51%): Up to USD61.20m  and YHB (49%): Up to USD58.80m.The remaining balance of the Estimated Project Cost shall be funded by loans from financial institutions.

The Proposed Joint Venture is not expected to have material effect on earnings for the FYE 31 January 2013 as the Bareboat Charter Contract is expected to commence in the month of June 2014.+ve as this contract now puts Yinson amongst the big boys with and orderbook of above RM3bn but still trading at a sharp discount to BUMI ARMADA's valuation of 21x vs Yinson of only (13x and 9x for FYE 2014 when contribution from its initial FSO kicks in). Long term BUY

6) Market - Technical bounce to continue with the initial banking collapse in Spain averted but major problems still remain in hence we expect this relief rally to be unsustainable until a long term solution is found in dealing with sovereign debt and growth issues in the Euro Zone.