Tuesday, July 17, 2012

Morning Call | 17 July 2012

Morning Call                                                            17 JULY 2012

FLOWS:

BUYS:  BStead, PBB

SELLS: AMBank, IJM, Gamuda

Technical Stock Alert:
Bstead(RM5.55) - after consolidating for 3 weeks between a range of 5.50 to 5.30, Bstead broke out last week on huge volume and confirmed a reverse head and shoulder pattern with a minimum upside target of 6.10 and a higher mid-term target of 6.35. The stock trades at attractive valuations - forward PER 10.4x, p/bk 1.25x and a 6.2% gross dividend yield, and its main divisions of plantation and pharmaceuticals are in sectors which are current market favourites and are also firing on all cylinders. The property division has catalyst projects eg the Jalan Cochrane project and exciting newsflow of potential JV with LTAT on the Batu Cantonment army camp at Jalan Ipoh. The problematic heavy industries division has also seen its worst days and will be contributing significantly with the award of the lucrative RM9bn naval patrol vessels contract. Buy
(PT)

TChong (RM4.60) - volume has been picking up of late as this underperforming auto stk plays catch up as anticipation builds for better results on new launch of Nissan Almera in the Class B segment which will be very competitively priced against its peers eg Vios, City. Technically, MACD has turned up and widening creating a +ve divergence.
Table below for easier comparison:
                       Ytd performance (%)     yield (%)
PER (x)
UMW                           +40                       3.2
20
MBMR                          +84                        1
11       
DRB                               +30                         2
9
TChong                        +12                          2
17
 
Co is said to be optimistic of recovering mkt share to 5.6% v 5.3% earlier as sales of top seller Nissan Grand Livina MPV still a/c for 40% of its mkt share. Recovery from supply chain constraints and new model launches in 2H to provide much needed impetus for stk-BUY
(LJN)