Friday, January 18, 2013

Morning Call | 18 Jan 2013


FLOWS
Friday, 18 January, 2013
BUY
DIGI, KNM, TENAGA
SELL
CIMB, AMMB, DRBHICOM
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
KNM (7164)
18/1/2013
RM0.525
Trading BUY
RM0.66
The group has recorded positive earnings for the past 4 quarters, after inconsistent performances prior. OB stands at RM4.7b ( RM2.1b of which is the Peterborough project & RM0.7b the Orizon Wte project - both of which have yet to see further development ). The Peterborough project has yet to secure debt financing, but we understand the financial close could be achieved by 1Q2013. Although OB depletion is a concern, KNM reassured the reason is because it is more selective in terms of taking on new projects now, opting for jobs with gross profit margins in excess of 15% only. The tender book is higher now at RM19b. On the Borsig listing on the SGX that would unlock value for KNM, management has targeted 3Q2013. Co is trading at P/Bk of 0.38x & PE 8.9x FY13. Due to the improved earnings of its core business, we believe the downside risk to share price is limited, while re-rating catalysts arise from the takeoff of the Peterborough projects, eventual listing of Borsig & improved OB replenishment when RAPID & Brazil projects come in. (AK)
   
SENDAI (5205)
18/1/2013
RM1.27
ACCUMULATE
RM1.87
Share price has been on the slide, down c21% since July 2012. Co just announced its first job in 2013, securing a structural steel works job for the Abu Dhabi International Airport worth RM325m. This gave another strong evidence of Sendai’s firm presence in the Middle East construction sector. With this win, OB has been boosted to RM1.86b. Moving forward, we also expect group’s investment in Technic ( 13.9%) to bear fruit in the medium term, as the O&G sector could complement its steel fabrication business ( can leverage on Technic’s established track record).Trading at PE 7.6x FY13 ( compared to construction sector’s forward PE 8-13x), we believe it should trade closer to 11x, given that it’s a good proxy to the infrastructure boom in Middle East (esp Qatar, host of the 2022 FIFA World Cup), proxy to the Klang Valley MRT projects & strong reputation as a preferred structural steel specialist for international contractors. (AK)

Calls for JAN WEEK 2/WEEK 3
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
MISC (3816)
11/1/2013
RM4.15
Trading BUY
RM4.80
RM4.26
+2.1%
WCT-WB (9679WB)
11/1/2013
RM0.435
ACCUMULATE
RM1.00
RM0.43
-1.2%
YTLPOWR (6742)
14/1/2013
RM1.60
ACCUMULATE
RM1.80
RM1.63
+1.6%
AIRPORT (5014)
14/1/2013
RM5.62
BUY
RM6.34
RM5.50
-2.1%
HLIND (3301)
15/1/2013
RM4.53
ACCUMULATE
RM5.20
RM4.49
-0.6%
BSTEAD (2771)
15/1/2013
RM4.95
ACCUMULATE
RM5.50
RM4.93
-0.6%
COASTAL (5071)
16/1/2013
RM2.03
BUY
RM2.40
RM2.08
+2.5%
SPSETIA (2771)
16/1/2013
RM3.20
BUY
RM3.70
RM3.21
-0.3%
ARMADA (5210)
17/1/2013
RM3.81
ACCUMULATE
RM4.12
RM3.82
+0.3%
MALTON (6181)
17/1/2013
RM0.535
Trading BUY
RM0.62
RM0.54
+1.0%