Friday, August 2, 2013

Morning Call | 2 August 2013



FLOWS
Thursday, 1 August 2013
BUY
GENTING ,GAMUDA, SPSETIA
SELL
TENAGA, MAYBANK, SIME
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
UEMS (5148)
2/8/2013
RM2.70
BUY
RM3.15
Group with the impending listings of Medini Iskandar & Iskandar Waterfront Holdings, policies making & news flow from the IDR in Johor will continue to be investors friendly. This would benefit UEMS as it is the largest landowner in the ID with 70% of their land-bank & 80% of its total projected GDV in IDR. The current pull-back in price, due to perceptions of potential negative policies, is an opportunity to buy the stock. UEMS has retraced 17% & 26% from its last month & ytd highs respectively. With the recent downgrade by Fitch in the Malaysian credit outlook to negative, the govt will need to better manage its finance and reduce its public debts, hence it is very unlikely for the govt to  come out with policies that are detrimental to the listing of the said IPOs and jeopardise their effort to raise cash from some of their assets. Valuations is also attractive after the recent retracement as it is now trading at a discount of 36% to RNAV of RM4.20. Market consensus 12-month target price is RM3.68, 27% upside from current price. Buy
(PT)
 

MISC(3816)
2/8/2013
RM5.37
BUY
RM5.80
Stock has clearly outperformed the broader market for the last couple of months due to its turnaround in its 1Q13 results post its restructuring  & divestment exercise, the rebound in VLCC spot rates, higher earnings from the tank terminals division as additional phases from Tanjong Bin come into operation,  and increased contribution from offshore with Gemusut Kakap rig commencing from 2H13. Recently, it is noted that VLCC spot rates have spiked further, gaining 15% from last week. US tanker charterers have also seen gains of >50% since they bottom 2 months ago. Despite its improving fundamentals, MISC was also not excused in the sharp market reaction towards the Fitch credit outlook downgrade. This has resulted in MISC giving up 50% of its rally from RM4.86 to RM5.85 and is now at an attractive level for re-entry. Buy
(PT)
 
Calls for JULY Week 4 / AUGUST Week 1
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
GENP(2291)
26/7/2013
RM10.00
TAKE PROFIT
-
RM9.90
-1.0%
UZMA(7250)
26/7/2013
RM4.00
TAKE PROFIT
-
RM3.97
-0.7%
MAHSING (8583)
29/7/2013
RM2.51
ACCUMULATE
RM3.10
RM2.38
+5.2%
QL(7084)
29/7/2013
RM3.60
Trading SELL
RM3.30
RM3.50
-3.8%
GADANG (9261)
30/7/2013
RM0.92
BUY
RM1.20
RM0.925
+0.5%
PERISAI(0047)
30/7/2013
RM1.56
ACCUMULATE on weakness
RM2.00
RM1.48
-5.2%
SENDAI (5205)
31/7/2013
RM1.56
Trading BUY
RM1.75
RM1.55
-0.7%
TEBRAU (1589)
31/7/2013
RM1.36
Trading BUY
RM1.70
RM1.35
-0.8%
KIMLUN (5171)
1/8/2013
RM2.00
ACCUMULATE
RM2.60
RM2.05
+2.5%
DELEUM (5132)
1/8/2013
RM3.28
BUY
RM3.90
RM3.43
+4.5%

We’ve added an extra feature (first column from right) to indicate our recommendation for our call.

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY