Thursday, November 28, 2013

Morning Call | 28 November 2013


FLOWS
Thursday, 28 November, 2013
BUY
AIRASIA, MAYBANK, DIALOG
SELL
TENAGA, CIMB, GENTING
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
MAHSING (8583)
28/11/2013
RM2.16
Trading BUY
RM2.60
Mahsing’s Q3 results came inline with consensus representing 75% of full year sales target of RM3b. Going forward, the company is expected to sail thru the year surpassing 2013 sales target as they move their focus to average local consumption where 60% of its residential products will be priced below RM1mil; notably, most of its projects do not offer DIBS thus we believe the group should be able to weather passed the recent pressure on the sector. Group’s outstanding unbilled sales of RM4.2b provides up to 2 years earning visibility while we look forward to more launches (Residence 1&2 @Rawang, Southville City, D’sara Sentral, Meridin@Medini, Lakeville Residence and Bandar Meridin East next couple of years. Currently only trading at 10x for FY13 and 8.5x for FY14. AS of 3Q13, the group’s net gearing is only 0.2x and is backed by a strong cash pile of RM788mil. Technical chart shows a turnaround in its chart yesterday after touching a low of RM2.10, MACD just cut up, and short term moving average are all turning up. BUY with an immediate target of RM2.40 and eventually RM2.60 which is 20% from total RNAV of RM3.20
 
 
GAMUDA (5398)
28/11/2013
RM4.76
BUY on weakness
RM5.20
Recently, group announced that it has received a LOA dated for 21st November 2013 from the Selangor state government arm, KDEB with intentions to take over Gamuda’s 40% owned SPLASH (RM1.83b in total) which translates to for a total cash consideration of RM733.8mil or RM0.32 sens. The shareholders of SPLASH had been given 14 days to accept the deal (4th December). Looking ahead, group expects a couple more key newsflows such as the awarding of PDP as well as the underground works contract for LINE 2 of the MRT mega project. Gamuda is also a likely candidate for the month/year end window dressing. Currently trading at 15.3x FY 14 PE and 13.6x for FY15. Current share price RM4.76 and was supported closer to the RM4.72 (100 MA). Buy on Weakness with a TP of RM5.20 based on 15x FY15 PE.
 

 
Calls for  NOV Week 4
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
TSH (9059)
21/11/2013
RM2.83
Take Profit
RM2.50
RM2.80
-1.1%
HOVID (7213)
21/11/2013
RM0.345
ACCUMULATE
RM0.41
RM0.350
+1.4%
UEMS (5148)
22/11/2013
RM2.25
BUY
RM2.55
RM2.30
+2.2%
DAYA (0091)
22/11/2013
RM0.365
BUY
RM0.41
RM0.38
+4.1%
SIME (4197)
25/11/2013
RM9.56
BUY
RM10.50
RM9.64
+0.8%
SALCON (8567)
25/11/2013
RM0.665
BUY
RM0.75
RM0.685
+3.0%
BJLAND (4219)
26/11/2013
RM0.815
BUY
RM1.47
RM0.805(ex)
-1.3%
BSTEAD (2771)
26/11/2013
RM5.33
ACCUMULATE
RM6.00
RM5.32
-0.1%
BENALEC (5190)
27/11/2013
RM1.01
Trading BUY
RM1.23
RM0.94
-7.0%
SURIA (6521)
27/11/2013
RM2.41
ACCUMULATE
RM3.44
RM2.55
+5.8%

 

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY