Tuesday, December 3, 2013

Morning Call | 3 December 2013


FLOWS
Tuesday, 3 December, 2013
BUY
MAYBANK, ASTRO
SELL
UEMS, CIMB, ALAM
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
SYSCORP (5173)
3/12/2013
RM0.435
BUY
RM0.50
Group reported a turnaround in 1QFY14 performance from improvement in the vessel new build & repair segment despite poor results from the shipping segment due to low dry bulk rates, high bunker costs & a loss on disposal of vessel of RM3.9m. We are expecting a jump in profit for the Q2 as the current quarter to date average bulk rates are 35% higher than Q1, and over the last 2 weeks, dry bulk rates have surged 26%. Bunker costs, which forms a major portion of total operating costs, will also be lower as crude oil prices have fallen 6.5% QonQ. Malaysian shipping stocks have always been laggards compared to their peers historically despite obvious improving fundamentals. Shipping companies from Singapore, Hong Kong & USA have rose from 3% to 20% in the past month. SYSCorp, which trades at an attractive p/bk of 0.47x, is still consolidating in the same trading band of RM0.40 – 0.50 which has been in existence since Dec’11. Its current price is only 41% of the original IPO price of RM1.05 in June’10. Buy
(PT)
 

CMSB (2852)
3/12/2013
RM6.09
Take Profit
-
CMS has gained 19% since the end of Oct & 89% ytd compared to the flat performance of the KLCI index over the same period & an 8% ytd return. Its heavily overbought as seen by the extreme readings of its various technical indicators, for e.g. the RSI of 85%. It is also trading near its strong resistance of RM6.10. On a historical basis, the fundamentals are also stretched with trailing & forward PER of 13.6x & 12.6x, and p/bk of 1.3x versus 5-year average PER & p/bk of 8.7x & 0.6x respectively. Although CMS chart has a reverse head & shoulder pattern with an upside target of RM6.27 (about 3% from current price), we viewed this as an opportunity to take profit into strength.
(PT)
 
 

Calls for  NOV Week 4 / DEC week 1
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
BJLAND (4219)
26/11/2013
RM0.815
BUY
RM1.47
RM0.83(ex)
+1.8%
BSTEAD (2771)
26/11/2013
RM5.33
ACCUMULATE
RM6.00
RM5.36
+0.5%
BENALEC (5190)
27/11/2013
RM1.01
Trading BUY
RM1.23
RM0.93
-8.0%
SURIA (6521)
27/11/2013
RM2.41
ACCUMULATE
RM3.44
RM2.65
+9.9%
MAHSING (8583)
28/11/2013
RM2.16
Trading BUY
RM2.60
RM2.22
+2.7%
GAMUDA (5398)
28/11/2013
RM4.76
BUY on weakness
RM5.20
RM4.70
-1.2%
PANTECH (5125)
29/11/2013
RM0.995
ACCUMULATE
RM1.15
RM0.975
-2.1%
MHB (5186)
29/11/2013
RM3.74
ACCUMULATE
RM5.20
RM3.77
+0.8%
PMETAL (8869)
2/12/2013
RM2.36
BUY
RM3.12
RM2.33
-1.3%
PCHEM (5183)
2/12/2013
RM6.75
Trading BUY
RM7.30
RM6.75
0.0%

 

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY