Monday, February 24, 2014

Morning Call | 24 February 2014


FLOWS
Monday, 24 February, 2014
BUY
SIME, IOICORP, TENAGA
SELL
DIGI, AXIATA, SPSETIA
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
KIMLUN (5171)
24/2/2014
RM1.59
ACCUMULATE
RM1.96
The share price has eased c8% over the past week, after trading ex-rights on Feb 14. We see this price weakness an opportunity to accumulate the stock. The rights issue which is expected to raise RM66m is timely, and would mainly be used for working capital for jobs in hand & prospective ones. Recall that group won a record RM1.1b for 2013. We expect earnings to recover strongly in FY14 as Kimlun will begin recognizing contributions from the new jobs it won last year (recall that 70% of new jobs were only secured in the 2H of 2013). Other prospective jobs in the near term includes the Thomson LRT Line (Singapore) with a tunnel lining segment package potentially worth SGD100m (Co’s Johor & Senawang plant has sufficient capacity to meet orders if required). Kimlun remains an attractive proxy to construction activities within Johor as well as MRT jobs in Klang Valley and Singapore. Trading at 8x FY14, RSI at 36 – Accumulate (TP RM1.96 based on 10x FY14 EPS).
(AK)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
TSH (9059)
24/2/2014
RM3.00
ACCUMULATE
RM3.60
The outlook for plantation stocks has improved significantly recently. CPO price which breached the psychological level of RM2700, Indonesia’s Pertamina’s 2nd tender of biodiesel and expectation of lower CPO inventory level all bodes well for CPO prices, as it creates additional sustainable demand for CPO. In line with this optimism, we believe TSH is very well positioned to ride this wave. We expect Co to be amongst the main beneficiaries as it has one of the strongest FFB growth amongst the planters – 20% CAGR for the next 3 years ( given it’s structural advantage of having young trees, average 7 years old ), which will auger well for its medium term outlook as well. Besides this, it is expected to record a one-off RM86m gain from the sale of a 16% stake in Pontian last year, and expected to declare higher FY13 dividends +30-40% yoy; Accumulate, for it”s strong FFB growth & improving sector outlook.( TP RM3.60, based on 18x FY14 EPE of 20s).
(AK)
 
Calls for  FEB Week 2/Week 32014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
MMCCORP (2194)
17/2/2014
RM2.79
Trading BUY
RM3.20
RM2.79
+0.4%
MRCB (1651)
17/2/2014
RM1.48
ACCUMULATE
RM1.80
RM1.51
+2.0%
TROP (5401)
18/2/2014
RM1.24
ACCUMULATE
RM1.62
RM1.30
+4.8%
SOP (5126)
18/2/2014
RM5.99
ACCUMULATE
RM6.96
RM6.08
+1.5%
MPHBCAP (5237)
19/2/2014
RM1.78
ACCUMULATE
RM2.00
RM1.87
+5.0%
WASEONG (5142)
19/2/2014
RM1.99
ACCUMULATE
RM2.50
RM1.95
-2.1%
UMWOG (5243)
20/2/2014
RM4.39
BUY
RM4.80
RM4.36
+0.7%
MUHIBAH (5703)
20/2/2014
RM2.64
SELL
RM2.30
RM2.65
+0.3%
SEALINK (5145)
21/2/2014
RM0.445
BUY
RM0.55
RM2.79
+0.4%
PENERGY (5133)
21/2/2014
RM2.34
ACCUMULATE
RM2.70
RM1.51
+2.0%
 
HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY