Friday, August 15, 2014

Market Roundup | 14 August 2014

 
FBMKLCI   1861.58  +3.54pts   (+0.19%)     Volume  3.947b   Value 2.583b
 
1) The KLCI continued its winning streak for a 4th day inline with the stronger US market as investors looked beyond the July retail sales data which came in flat yesterday; missing estimates marginally. In the regional market, bourses were mixed as the NIKKEI gained +0.66% helped by tech names following the stronger NASDAQ overnight, HSI -0.36% & SHCOMP -0.74% saw choppy trading today as concerns of the government scaling down its stimulus plans continue to cap the market. In the local scene, TECHNOLOGY index +1.04% gained the most grounds parallel with the strength in global tech stocks today boosted by selected names such as GTRONIC +4.06%, UNISEM +2.85%, VITROX +1.92%. Market breadth was neutral as losers beat gainers by a nose at 423 : 431. Futures closed at  1858 (3pt discount).
 
2) Heavyweights : PETGAS +1.97% RM22.70, PBBANK +0.52% RM19.12, MAYBANK +0.60% RM10.00, TENAGA +0.65% RM12.30, PETDAG +2.71% RM20.46, MAXIS +0.92% RM6.52, GENM -1.37% RM4.31, GENTING -0.70% RM9.93.
 
3) DBT : RPB 9.951mil @ RM0.41 (1.15% PUC), APFT 7mil @ RM0.15 (2.22% PUC @ 19% discount), WZSATU 5mil @ RM1.84 (18.3% discount).
 
4) Situational:-
HIBISCUS -0.64% RM1.53 - Lime Norway has secured three wells for prospective drilling in 2015 thus far, namely, PL591 and PL591B, PL 708 and PL 616. Meanwhile, decisions to drill wells or relinquish licences are expected to be made for PL 498 and PL498B in Q4 2014, while a similar determination is expected for PL503, PL503B and PL503C in Q1 2015. For Lime Norway’s remaining portfolio licences, drill or drop decisions are expected in 2016 and beyond.
 
5) Media Prima
    
  6 months  Revenue -11% RM742.7m     Net Profit -28% RM62.8m  EPS 6.69 sen;      Declared 1st interim single tier dividend of 3.0 sen (2013: 3.0 sen)
 
                 Results 43% below consensus (f) RM221.6m
 
The market environment has been very challenging for the media industry as a whole. In light of the circumstances, the Group recorded a fall in revenue and profit after tax against previous corresponding period by 11% and 28% respectively. The higher revenue in corresponding period was attributed by the contribution from Non Traditional Advertisers (General Elections campaign expenditure). The Group’s profit after tax margin of 9% showed continuous effort to review and improve the business processes to further enhance efficiency and productivity.
 
The performance of the respective platforms for the period ended 30 June 2014 as compared to previous financial period is analysed as follows:
a) Television Network – Revenue for the period was lower by 8%. Profit after tax has also declined by 24%, in tandem with lower revenue recorded during the period.
b) Print Media – Print revenue declined by 16% due to lower advertising and newspaper sales revenue. Profit after tax lower by 40% against comparative period.
c) Outdoor Media – Revenue contracted by 11% against previous comparative period due to the slow take up by advertisers. Accordingly, it translated to 17% reduction in profit after tax.
d) Radio Network – Higher sponsorship by the advertisers resulted in a higher revenue by 6% but flat profit after tax against corresponding period.
e) Digital Media – Advertising revenue has increased by 9% due to the higher take up of online advertising. However, loss after tax was comparable to prior period due to higher bandwidth costs as a result of more page and video views.
f) Content Creation – Lower revenue by 13% due to lower number of movie releases in the current period compared to the previous corresponding period. Due to lower production costs, the platform was able to record a profit after tax of RM1.9 million against a loss after tax of RM1.6 million in previous period.
 
Prospect for 2014
The Group is focusing on providing the best local and international content while aiming at new market penetration and new revenue stream. Due to the challenging business and market conditions, the Group will continue to focus on the execution of key strategy on advertising growth supported by major events such as Asian games, Commonwealth games and Visit Malaysia Year 2014. At the same time, the Group will continue to manage and improve its costs by monitoring key cost drivers, coupled with cost saving initiatives.
 
Despite poor 1st Half results, maintain Hold for now as Q2's performance showed marked improvement, increasing 28% q-o-q, and seasonally the Group perform better in the 2nd Half due to increased advertising & promotion for the various festivities. Media Prima also consistently distributes favourable dividends with yield exceeding 6%.
 
6) Market: The KLCI index stocks are expected to consolidate while trading focus remains with the situational lower liners.