Friday, April 13, 2012

Morning Call | 13 April 2012

MORNING CALL                                       13 April 2012

FLOWS;

BUYS:  CIMB, JCY, Maybank

SELLS:  Mulpha, SPSetia, UMW

PLANTATION SECTOR HIGHLIGHT
 
Mid and smaller cap plantation names have been going gang busters in recent days on the back of higher CPO prices which breached the RM3,600/tn. We have taken a look at less covered names and came up with some possible hidden gems:

Name Mkt Value (Mil) Hist PE P/B Last YTD  planted Hectare   mature Hectare    FFB   EV per Hectare 
TDM BHD 1178 7.27 1.01 4.88 29.79%   35,284         32,471    550,625     33,392
Kwantas Corp BHD 754 7.32 0.61 2.41 19.37%    17,051         13,550    334,281     44,235
Kretam Holdings BHD 859 7.55 1.00 2.36 0.43%    14,598         12,434    247,955     58,843
BLD Plantation Bhd 791 7.80 1.33 9.23 26.61%    24,580   21,138.80    322,700     32,160
Kim Loong Resources Bhd 816 8.41 1.61 2.66 13.68%    13,868         13,074    227,325     58,825
Cepatwawasan Group BHD 366 8.91 0.92 1.17 14.51%    19,439         19,099    148,451     18,839
* data based on last reported annual report     41,049
FBMPALM Index123.04bn 13.38 2.04 8843.66 8.29%

* Note that the FBMPALM Index performance is not a fair reflection of the sector as KLK and IOIC account for 50% of the index weighting. IOIC is of course weighted down by expected margin compression in its down stream sector due to Indonesia's revision in its tax structure for palm products making Malaysian companies less competitive.

(TYK)
TRADING BUYS;

Kwantas: P/B is only trading at 0.61X while half of its planted area are either in young or prime age. This bodes well for FFB growth.

Cepat: EV/Hectare is only RM18.8k compare to industry average of around RM40-50k.