Wednesday, July 11, 2012

Market Roundup | 10 July 2012

FBM30 1624.29  +3.98 points (+0.25%)    Volume 1,132.5mil     Value        1,536.5mil      

1) KLCI continued its record setting pace with another new hi close at 1625.04 (+4.73pts), as buying support was evident for key heavyweights led by banks despite a weaker regionals which fell after China's imports grew at a slower than expected pace stoking fears of a slowdown. Plantation+1.14% surged on favourable outlook for CPO prices with mid cap plantations names IJMPLNT+7%, TSH+11%, KULIM+3.5% leading the gainers. Market breadth was positive with advancers leading decliners 436:338. Futures closed 1629.5pts ( 5 points premium). 

2) Heavyweights: CIMB+0.9% RM7.81, MAYBANK+0.46% RM8.74, PBBANK+0.29% RM14.00, PPB+1.39% RM16.00, AXIATA+0.36% RM5.57, KLK+0.92% RM24.12, DIGI+0.47% RM4.30, UMW-2.73% RM9.63

3) DBT: APEX 13.5mil @ RM0.92 (5.8% PUC, 31% discount), SCOPE 13mil @ RM0.20 (4.4% PUC, 40% discount), IRIS 7.3mil @ RM0.15 (0.5% PUC, 9% discount)

4) Situationals:
COASTAL+1.51% RM2.02: Company has secured contracts for the sale of 12 vessels valued at an estimated RM446mil. The group orderbook now stands at RM583mil that are expected to be delivered by 2013.

5)GENTING
GENT announce that PT Lestari Banten Energi , a 95%-owned subsidiary of Lestari Listrik Pte Ltd , today entered into a 25-year power purchase agreement  with PT PLN, the Indonesian state-owned electricity company, for the Banten Plant. The remaining 5% equity in LBE is held by PT Hero Inti Pratama , LL's local partner for the Project.

The Project involves the financing, design, procurement, construction, commissioning, operation and maintenance of a coal-fired power plant with a gross generating capacity of 660MW with support facilities in Banten Province, West Java, Indonesia. The Banten Plant shall be developed and operated on a build, own, operate and transfer basis for a period of 25 years, following which, the Banten Plant shall be transferred to PLN for a nominal consideration. The Banten Plant is expected to commence commercial operations in 2017.

The total cost of the Project is estimated to be approximately US$1 billion, of which up to 75% is expected to be financed via non-recourse debt to be taken by LBE and the balance of at least 25% is expected to be financed via equity injections and/or shareholders' loans from LL and PT Hero. LL is expected to finance its investment in the Project using internally generated funds of GENT and its subsidiaries and/or proceeds from the medium term notes issued by the GENT Group in June 2012.

The electricity to be generated by the Banten Plant is a key component of PLN's Electrical Power Supply Business Plan 2010 - 2019 (Rencana Usaha Penyediaan Tenaga Listrik 2010 - 2019) for the Java Bali Grid, and is one of a few independent power producer projects that PLN is promoting to address Indonesia's shortfall in generating capacity.

The Project therefore represents an opportunity for the GENT Group to make its maiden investment in the Indonesian power sector and thus expand its power generation portfolio regionally.

The Project is only expected to commence commercial operation in 2017 and is expected to contribute positively towards the future earnings of the GENT Group after the Banten Plant achieves commercial operation. +ve and will add to the group's diversity of making Power a more meaningful contributor from currently only around 8% of group EBITA.

6) Market - The KLCI remains immune to global financial turmoil so far as funds seek refuge here in high yielding names and sheltered from global redemptions due to the low foreign shareholding. The KLCI could drive higher beyond its current technical target from the rotational interest into plantations currently. Our favourite buy calls in this sector include Sarawak Pltn, IJM Pltn, SIME. FGV could see fresh buying support from its inclusion in the MSCI index tomorrow.