Thursday, August 16, 2012

Market Roundup | 15 August 2012

FBM30 1653.78             +0.88points (+0.05%)       Volume 1,114mil      Value 1,185mil      

1) KLCI ended positive after gaining 4.4pts at close on mark ups of DIGI, PETGAS, MAXIS. Index was generally weaker over the day inline with the lower regions after Australia consumer confidence fell while concerns global economy growth are slowing. Market volume remain thinly traded ahead of the upcoming long weekend. However market breadth turned negative with decliners leading gainers 410:335. Futures closed 1649.5pts (4points discount). 

2) Heavyweights: PPB-4.6% RM14.10, MAYBANK-0.45% RM8.91, CIMB-0.5% RM7.91, AMBANK-0.93% RM6.40, AIRASIA-1.64% RM3.60, DIGI+3.52% RM5.00, TM+0.86% RM5.90, MAXIS+0.73% RM6.87

3) DBT: UMLAND 9mil @ RM2.50 (3% PUC), CSL 8.9mil @ RM1.25 (8.7% discount), HARTA 7mil @ RM4.46

4) Situationals:
PPB-4.60% RM14.10: Share price tumbled after its 18% owned Wilmar international reported worse than expected earnings due to 64.3% fall in consumer products division and Sugar milling division suffered widening losses.

5) CIMB
1H JUNE 2012    Tover +15% RM6.58bn   Net +12.3% RM2.12bn 28.53sen
                        In line with cons(f) RM4.22bn

1H12 were in line with market estimates, underpinned by continued strong growth at CIMB Niaga and CIMB Singapore and outperformance at Corporate Banking and Treasury Markets ("CBTM")". Top line grew 15% to offset higher operating and credit costs.

Higher turnover attributed to sharp improvement in non-interest income coupled with a steady growth in net interest income. 
Group's regional Consumer Bank PBT expanded by 12.4% Y-o-Y to RM1.122 billion. The Malaysia & Singapore consumer operations PBT grew 6.9% Y-o-Y as growth continued to moderate. The consumer operations in Indonesia rose 31.7% Y-o-Y from a combination of higher assets and better margins. The Thai consumer operations lost RM4 million partly due to the retrospective implementation of a new deposit insurance framework.

Investment Banking PBT was 18.1% Y-o-Y lower despite a strong 2Q due to lower M&A income. Corporate Banking PBT fell 16.4% Y-o-Y due to higher provisions. Investments PBT were lower by 15.6% Y-o-Y at RM271 million due to one-off write-backs in 1H11. Consumer Banking operations remain the largest contributor to Group PBT at 40% (no change from 1H11).
Markets contribution to Group PBT jumped to 25% from 14% in 1H11. Corporate Banking, Investment Banking and Investments contributed 20%, 5% and 10% respectively.

CIMB Niaga's PBT rose 28.8% Y-o-Y to IDR2,735 billion while its contribution to the Group was 24.8% higher Y-o-Y at RM918 million, accounting for 33% of Group PBT. CIMB Thai's PBT fell 29.8% to THB395 million and after GAAP and FRS139 adjustments, its contribution to the Group was 33.7% lower at RM32 million, equivalent to 1% of Group PBT.

CIMB Singapore's PBT rose 91.1% to RM108.3 million increasing its share of Group PBT to 4%. Total non-Malaysian PBT increased to 43% in 1H12 from 37% in 1H11.

The Group's total gross loans expanded 13.1% Y-o-Y. Corporate loans saw a large increase of 19.3% while retail loans grew by 9.8%. Commercial banking loans were 19.8% higher Y-o-Y while auto loans rose 5.6%.

Total Group deposits grew by 7.3% Y-o-Y driven by an 11.6% expansion in retail deposits and a 14.8% growth in commercial banking deposits. Corporate and Treasury deposits were 0.2% higher Y-o-Y.
 
The Group's CASA ratio increased slightly to 34.9% from 34.3% last year. The Group's overall net interest margins were only marginally lower at 3.09% from 3.11% last year.

The Group's total loan impairment of RM195 million in 1H12 was a significant rise from the RM92 million in 1H11, which included substantial write-backs and recoveries.The Group's gross impairment ratio continued to improve to 4.4% for 1H12 from 5.7% as at 1H11, with an allowance coverage of 82.3%.

The Group's cost to income ratio improved to 55.3% compared to 56.2% in 1H11. RWCR at 15.1% while its Tier 1 capital ratio stood at 13.1% as at 30 June 2012 (after inclusion of 1H12 net profits and proposed dividends). CIMB Group's double leverage and gearing stood at 118.6% and 21.2% respectively as at end-June 2012.3) HOLD

6) Market - Volume activity likely to thin out ahead of the festive weekend and uninspiring set of numbers so far from the companies that have reported 2Q numbers. KLCI to trade in a tight range.