Monday, November 19, 2012

Morning Call | 19 Nov 2012


FLOWS
Monday, 19 November, 2012
BUY
SIME, GENTING, TM
SELL
KNM, MAYBANK, WCT
SECTOR ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
YTLP (6742)
19/11/2012
RM1.53
BUY
RM1.70
YTLPOWR (RM1.53) – selling momentum continues to push the price lower, falling a further 20% in the last 4 months especially after failing to extend its 1st Generation PPA expiring in Sept 2015. The selling looks over done at this level as its Malaysian power operation contribution in 2015 is projected to contribute less than 10% to group earnings. Furthermore the market has also chosen to ignore the signicant win by 60% YTL Comm for the 1 Bestarinet project awarded by the government which will has accelerated the monetizing objective of its 4G network. Prospects of parent company YTL Corp privatizing its 44.65% held YTL Power remain very real especially in view of the RM9.6bn cash held in the latter. Trading at almost half its historical mean P/bk level of 2.0x, we rate it a buy with an upside of RM1.70. (RL)
 
RHBCAP (1066)
19/11/2012
RM7.60
BUY
RM8.20
RHBCap (RM7.50) – the sell down today especially closer down to the RM7.40 level (sma 200) represents a good opportunity to accumulate the stock. The current weakness could possibly linked to fears that OSK could be selling down their position. Recall that RHB Cap acquired OSK IB for RM1.99bn via cash and 245m shares @ RM7.36. These shares were recently listed. We do not think the selling is likely as OSK personal has been retained at several key positions in the merged IB. Further details of the groups ambitions and business plan should be known on the 22 Nov when the bank announces its 3Q numbers. Trading currently at 10x PE and 1.2x P/Bk, it appears cheap compared to the large banking peers who trade around the 2x P/Bk range. We have an immediate target of RM8.20 and longer term target of RM10.00 or 1.6x P/bk.(DN)
 
Calls for OCT Week 3 / Week 4
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
BJTOTO(1562)
08/11/2012
RM4.32
Defensive BUY
RM4.65
RM4.32
+0.4%
SUPERMX(7106)
08/11/2012
RM2.07
ACCUMULATE
RM2.08
RM2.01
-3.01%
DRBHCOM (1619)
09/11/2012
RM2.40
Trading BUY
RM2.80
RM2.43
0.9%
CMSB (2852)
09/11/2012
RM3.28
ACCUMULATE
RM3.60
RM3.29
+0.00%
GAMUDA (5398)
12/11/2012
RM3.66
BUY
RM4.00
RM3.69
+1.0%
UEMLAND (5148)
12/11/2012
RM2.13
TRIM
RM1.90
RM2.26
+6.1%
KLK (2445)
14/11/2012
RM20.72
BUY
RM4.00
RM20.74
+0.01%
TWSPLNT (6327)
14/11/2012
RM4.03
BUY
RM1.90
RM4.00
-0.8%
COASTAL (5071)
16/11/2012
RM2.01
BUY
RM2.40
RM2.01
+0.00%
QL (7084)
16/11/2012
RM3.15
BUY
RM3.55
RM3.22
+2.0%