Thursday, December 13, 2012

Morning Call | 13 Dec 2012


FLOWS
Thursday, 13 December, 2012
BUY
DIALOG, MAYBANK, AXIATA
SELL
TENAGA, GENM, ASTRO
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
HSL (6238)
13/12/2012
RM1.48
Accumulate
RM1.70
The share price has been sliding, losing some 15% from recent peak in July of RM1.71, as the market continued to demand high risk premium for construction stocks ahead of the GE. Recent Q3 results were relatively flat, but a strong Q4 is expected. EBIT margin has been holding steady c 19%. Co has secured orders worth RM525m YTD, well within the expected RM400-600m for FY12 & has an outstanding OB of RM1.1b. We believe job prospects for HSL will continue to be bright (from the Balingian coal power plant, Phase 2 of the Kuching sewerage plant, Samalaju Port works). HSL will also be buoyed by projects under SCORE, limited competition from only a small pool of Sarawak based UPK registered contractors for most public jobs in Sarawak & a strong B/S. Trading at PER of 8.2x for FY13 ( at the low end for the construction sector’s 8-13x), MACD cutting up & RSI at 36 – Accumulate.
(AK)


 
UNISEM (5005)
13/12/2012
RM0.90
Trading Buy
RM1.20
Share price has lost some 47% since February 2012 (RM1.68) on the back of 3 consecutive quarters of losses. However, 3QFY12 marked a turnaround when Co reported a net profit of RM8.3m. Capacity utilization rate has averaged at about 67% for the group, up from 62% recorded last quarter & 60% a year ago. Unisem has adopted a new business model, where it will focus on higher margin & high growth products, cost optimization and phasing out lower margin customers of legacy packages. Going forward, it will only make capex on high margin & growth products such as WLCSP, flip chip & MEMS packaging. We reckon the share price has been sold down to an attractive level as it’s now trading at FY13 P/Bk of less than 0.6x (35% discount to it’s 5-year average P/Bk of 0.9x). MACD on the verge of cutting up & RSI at 39. Although we expect seasonal weakness in 4QFY12 & 1QFY13, we are optimistic of Co’s recovery prospects in FY13 – Trading Buy.
(AK)
 
Calls for DEC Week 1/ Week 2
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
PARKSON (5657)
06/12/2012
RM4.60
BUY
RM4.97
RM4.60
+0.0%
ARMADA (5210)
06/12/2012
RM3.77
BUY
RM4.08
RM3.80
+0.80%
YTLPOWR (6742)
07/12/2012
RM1.51
BUY
RM2.00
RM1.54
+1.98%
IJMLAND (5215)
07/12/2012
RM2.08
BUY
RM2.60
RM2.06
-1%
FAVCO (7229)
10/12/2012
RM1.64
BUY
RM2.00
RM1.66
+1.2%
DIJACOR (5401)
10/12/2012
RM1.04
BUY
RM1.20
RM1.04
+0.0%
ALAM (5115)
11/12/2012
RM0.705
Trading BUY
RM0.85
RM0.70
-0.7%
PENERGY(5133)
11/12/2012
RM1.70
Accumulate
RM2.00
RM1.70
-0.00%
CRESBLD (8591)
12/12/2012
RM0.84
BUY
RM1.00
RM0.825
-1.78%
MRCB (1651)
12/12/2012
RM1.57
Trading BUY
RM1.70
RM1.58
+0.64%