Thursday, January 3, 2013

Morning Call | 3 Jan 2012


 FLOWS
Thursday, 3 January, 2013
BUY
PBBANK, CIMB, SIME, MRCB
SELL
IOI, MAXIS, IJM
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
GENTING (3182)
3/1/2013
RM9.29
BUY
RM9.82
Genting (RM9.29) - better sentiments and higher tolerance level for risk going into 2013 due to better economic numbers globally and the fading tail risk of China hard landing & EU region disintegration. This environment favours high beta names and Genting  with a beta of 1.39 vs FBMKLCI is a good bet especially coupled with its good liquidity & large market cap is a darling of foreign funds whenever there is a shift in allocation to emerging markets. The stock has also been consolidating at its base for the last 13 weeks similar to its March to June period of 2010 before it rallied strongly all the way to its January 2011 high. MACD buy signal has just been triggered yesterday. Genting is also one of the cheapest casino stocks on an EV/ebidta basis and is trading at the lower end of its PER & P/bk band. In addition, HK casino stocks, which have done very well in the last quarter of 2012, rallied strongly yesterday and Genting S’pore (a 52% sub of Genting) rose >4% on huge break-out volume. Buy (PT)


 
IJM (3336)
3/1/2013
RM5.05
Trading BUY
RM5.40
IJM (RM5.05) – after consolidating at the bottom for the last 4 months awaiting major contract wins, the confirmation of award of the WCE to KEuro (23% associate of IJM) is definitely positive for IJM and provide an opportunity for the major foreign houses to reiterate their buy calls. This will allow IJM to ride on the funds that have been currently been reallocated to the emerging markets. The daily and weekly charts have also recently turned constructive after the months of consolidation. With this possibility of an additional RM4bn contracts to the current order book of RM2.6bn, it will provide IJM to break out from its consolidation and target the 5.30 – 5.50 range. Tradiing buy
 
Calls for DEC WEEK 4/ JAN WEEK 1
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
CYPARK (5184)
19/12/2012
RM1.54
BUY
RM2.00
RM1.65
+7.1%
DIALOG (7277)
19/12/2012
RM2.39
BUY on weakness
RM2.80
RM2.42
+1.2%
GCB (5102)
20/12/2012
RM1.61
BUY
RM1.90
RM1.66
+3.1%
NAIM (5073)
20/12/2012
RM1.79
BUY
RM2.30
RM1.79
0.0%
MAHSING (8583)
21/12/2012
RM2.16
Accumulate
RM2.50
RM2.06
-4.38%
QL (7084)
21/12/2012
RM3.07
BUY on Weakness
RM3.60
RM3.15
+2.6%
FGV (5222)
27/12/2012
RM4.67
SELL into Strength
RM4.30
RM4.62
-1.3%
AIRASIA (5099)
27/12/2012
RM2.53
Trading BUY
RM3.40
RM2.77
+9.3%
STAR (6084)
2/1/2013
RM2.58
BUY
RM3.00
RM2.73
+5.8%
BENALEC (5190)
2/1/2013
RM1.39
BUY
RM1.60
RM1.37
-1.5%