Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Morning Call | 19 March 2013


FLOWS
Tuesday, 19 March, 2013
BUY
CIMB, DIGI, PERDANA
SELL
GAMUDA, MUDAJAYA, MPHB
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
ARMADA(5210)
19/3/2013
RM3.72
ACCUMULATE
RM4.00
Armada (RM3.72) – dipped briefly to RM3.68 intraday low yesterday, almost hitting its neckline support lvl of RM3.65 with ultimate support at RM3.60, RSI 40. Stk has been trading within a tight range this yr despite recent award of RM2.3bn FPSO contract from ONGC, India. Anticipation is high that co will continue to secure another 1-2 FPSO charter contracts for the Belud (Msia) and Madura (Indo) fields. With recent newsflow on OSV players, Armada lags in terms of performance but co is positioning itself for deepwaters in Brazil, Africa and Msia as it is expanding in this segment from recent purchase of 4 MPSVs which yield higher rates. Another possible rerating catalyst for stk is Shell’s EOR contract which is expected to be awarded in June’13 which Armada is frontrunner. Trades at discount 20x to mkt leader SKPetro PER’13 26x-accumulate.
(LJN)
 
SUNWAY(5211)
19/3/2013
RM2.73
Take Profit
Buyback RM2.50
Sunway (RM2.73) – stk peaked at RM2.82 in recent run up on IDR related stks. This is what we anticipated (refer morning call 8/1/13) but feel that stk has had a gd run of +15% and is poised to take a breather as technically a bit stretched-RSI 66 and MACD signaling overbought and cutting downwards situation even as px dipped below its 10D SMA. Also recently co was awarded RM452m BRT line but reaction was muted, further indicating stk is toppish. Potential RI and GE13 may see investors lock in profit ahead of events. Tentatively lock in profit with aim to buy back around RM2.50 (50D SMA).
(LJN)
 
Calls for MARCH Week 2/Week 3
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
GENM(4715)
12/3/2013
RM3.58
SWITCH
RM3.80
RM3.47
-3.1%
IHH(5225)
12/3/2013
RM3.51
SELL into strength
RM3.30
RM3.44
-2.0%
CMMT (5180)
13/3/2013
RM1.80
ACCUMULATE
RM2.00
RM1.78
-1.1%
GASMSIA (5209)
13/3/2013
RM2.84
SELL into strength
Buyback RM2.60
RM2.85
+0.2%
TOPGLOV (7113)
14/3/2013
RM5.50
Trading BUY
RM5.80
RM5.39
-2.0%
CIMB (1023)
14/3/2013
RM7.11
SELL
RM6.50
RM7.06
-0.7%
MUHIBAH(5703)
15/3/2013
RM0.875
BUY
RM1.10
RM0.88
+0.5%
RHBCAP (1066)
15/3/2013
RM8.30
SELL
RM7.80
RM8.42
+1.4%
SIME(4197)
18/3/2013
RM9.00
Trading BUY
RM9.50
RM9.16
+1.7%
MAXIS(6012)
18/3/2013
RM6.50
TRIM
RM6.21
RM6.50
0.0%