Tuesday, April 30, 2013

Morning Call | 30 April 2013


FLOWS
Monday, 30 April 2013
BUY
MAYBANK, KLK, AFFIN
SELL
BJTOTO, MRCB, ASTRO
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
PETGAS(6033)
30/4/2013
RM19.64
SELL into stregth
RM18.50
Stock has recently been on uptrend ever since it broke above RM19 despite coming in short in latest earnings, affected somewhat by slower demand for propane and butane gas.  Negotiations on terms on existing supply agreement have begun with majority s/h Petronas-due to finalize agreement in coming months. The new contract is expected to include more variables with a separate processing and transmission agreement. The Melaka regassification plant has suffered numerous delays and targeted completion is sometime in June/Jul only. These –ves will continue to cap further price appreciation. Technically also looking stretched as RSI at 72 and valuations are rich with PER 25x and trading at lower end of its yield curve at mere 2.5%. (LJN)
 
 

PCHEM(5183)
30/4/2013
RM6.49
SELL into strength
RM6.00
Since our buy call on 4/12/12 at RM5.66, stocks has gained 15% and surpassed our initial target price of RM6.20. It has hit its technical resistance at current RM6.50 levels and trades at a pricey PER’14 of 13.6x v regional peers of average 10x. Limited near term catalyst to rerate stock as its industry outlook remains bleak, clouding any immediate capacity expansion plans. Co is due to announce its 1Q results end next month with full year consensus expecting RM3.8bn, 47.6c. Co has discontinued its vinyl business but its prevailing problems of weaker demand for olefins and higher raw material costs may continue. (LJN)
 
 

Calls for APRIL Week 3-4
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
SKPETRO(5218)
23/4/2013
RM3.10
BUY on weakness
RM3.80
RM3.10
0.0%
TOPGLOV(7113)
23/4/2013
RM6.09
Take Profit
RM5.50
RM6.38
+5.0%
AMMB(1015)
24/4/2013
RM6.52
ACCUMULATE
RM7.30
RM6.68
+2.5%
IJMLAND(5215)
24/4/2013
RM2.55
BUY on weakness
RM3.00
RM2.59
+1.5%
BHIC(8133)
25/4/2013
RM2.20
ACCUMULATE
RM2.53
RM2.12
-3.7%
MRCB(1651)
25/4/2013
RM1.38
BUY on weakness
RM1.68
RM1.40
+1.4%
MUHIBAH(5703)
26/4/2013
RM1.12
ACCUMULATE
RM1.60
RM1.14
+1.7%
MAYBULK(5077)
26/4/2013
RM1.53
BUY on weakness
RM1.80
RM1.50
-2.0%
TENAGA(5347)
29/4/2013
RM7.83
TRIM
RM7.30
RM7.84
+0.1%
SPSETIA(8664)
29/4/2013
RM3.30
ACCUMULATE
RM4.40
RM3.40
-2.6%