Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Morning Call | 16 July 2013


FLOWS
Tuesday, 16 July, 2013
BUY
CIMB, IOICORP, MAYBANK
SELL
DIALOG, JCY, KLK
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
JOHOTIN(7167)
16/7/2013
RM1.97
BUY
RM2.60
While the group’s tin can division might be confronting challenges of volatile raw materials and heavy competition, the group’s move to acquire Able Dairies Bhd in 2011 and moving into the F&B market puts it back into the driver seat as of FY12 onwards, c.60% of the revenue will come from the F&B segment. The group’s F&B dairy segment will be continue to drive growth and profitability due to strong condensed milk demand in 3rd world countries such as Africa and India. According to one of TetraPak’s report, they expect Africa alone will see consumption climb from 15bil litres in 2010 to 25bil litres by 2020. Fundamentally, group is only trading at 7x PE and should see a rerating in the near future if it were to be compared to other f&b players like nestle and F&N that’s trading at 20x PE. Group is netcash of 15mil as of 4Q2012. Pays 2% div. Technical chart shows the forming of a reverse head and shoulder with a 22 sens upside from RM2.05. MA10,25,50, consolidated well and has been creeping upwards, MACD still flattish. Stochastics about to trigger a BUY call indicating momentum. BUY with a near term TP of 2.27.
(RL)
 
 
 
GENM(4715)
16/7/2013
RM3.99
Take profit
RM3.68
Recent strength in the share price was linked to the launching of the new Resort World Bimini in the Bahamas which also offers an alternative to Miami since the outcome of the liberalisation of casino in Florida state is still uncertain. Although this might just be a stepping stone to penetrating the US market, GENM’s investment in the venture is relatively small thus earnings impact might too be minimal. While it’s still too early to gauge the effectiveness of the JV business, GENM’s 2Q13 earnings should be weaker than 1Q. Volume has been tapering off since the announcement of the JV in the US. Currently stock is trading at the top range of its valuation of 15.7x PE vs 1 year avg of 16x. RSI 58% and has turned down. Suggest taking profit into strength around current levels and Buy back around RM3.68 which is 13.6x PE based on last 4Q EPS of 27sens.
(RL)

 

Calls for JULY week 2 / week 3
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
FITTERS (9318)
9/7/2013
RM0.745
ACCUMULATE
RM1.15
RM0.720
-3.4%
OLDTOWN (5201)
9/7/2013
RM2.75
BUY on weakness
RM3.40
RM2.77
+0.7%
POS(4634)
10/7/2013
RM4.80
ACCUMULATE
RM5.50
RM4.75
+1.1%
TMCLIFE(0101)
10/7/2013
RM0.395
BUY
RM0.50
RM0.385
-2.6%
SUPERMX(7106)
11/7/2013
RM2.00
SWITCH
RM2.32
RM2.09
+4.5%
CRESBLD(8591)
11/7/2013
RM1.23
BUY
RM1.44
RM1.34
+8.9%
MTDACPI(5924)
12/7/2013
RM0.555
BUY
RM0.76
RM0.59
+6.3%
GENTING (3182)
12/7/2013
RM9.98
BUY
RM10.58
RM10.04
+0.6%
WCT (9679)
15/7/2013
RM2.49
ACCUMULATE
RM2.98
RM2.44
-2.1%
JCY(5161)
15/7/2013
RM0.705
Trading SELL
RM0.53
RM0.705
0.0%