Monday, July 8, 2013

Morning Call | 8 July 2013


FLOWS
Monday, 8 July, 2013
BUY
AFFIN , GAMUDA, PERDANA
SELL
DIALOG, IJM, KLK
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
PADINI(7052)
8/7/2013
RM1.89
ACCUMULATE
RM2.20
The share price has retreated c15% since late May, on concerns of gross margins contraction & higher operating expenses. We reckon these concerns have been largely priced in. At current levels, Co is looking attractive again, following Q3FY13 better than expected sales & gross profit margins. The main focus going forward is to improve margins & looking out for good store locations & expanding presence beyond the Klang Valley. Store expansion is ramping up in FY14 with 6 new stores in the pipeline (vs only 1 new store in FY13). B/S remains healthy with net cash of RM166m as at end 9MFY13. Co is also a dividend player, supported by yields in excess of 4% from FY14 onwards. It’s trading a PE of 12x FY14 (vs 5-year historical mean of 15x). MACD appears to be cutting up, RSI at 44 -  Accumulate ( TP RM2.20, PE14x FY14)
(AK)
 

IJMLAND(5215)
8/7/2013
RM2.85
ACCUMULATE
RM3.30
The share price has consolidated around the RM2.80 level the past 3 weeks, after correcting c25%( from RM3.35 to RM2.54) in the past 1.5 months. We see upside from here. FY03/2013 results came in within expectation, with RM2b sales achieved for FY13 (beating market estimates by 15%). Expectations are sales will achieve RM2.3b in FY14, on the back RM3b worth of launches. EBIT margins remain healthy at above 20% due to good product mix. IJMLand should continue to do well in FY14 due to its wide range of products in good location that should satisfy both local & foreign demand. Current valuation is undemanding, at c20% discount to RNAV of RM3.50. Catalysts include new landbanks acquisition and JV deals; Accumulate on strong earnings, sales & easing valuations. (TP RM3.30, 5% disc to RNAV).
(AK)
 
Calls for JUNE Week 4 - JULY week 1
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
KIMLUN(5171)
1/7/2013
RM2.06
ACCUMULATE
RM2.61
RM2.11
+2.6%
DAYA(0091)
1/7/2013
RM0.24
Trading BUY
RM0.28
RM0.24
0.0%
GTRONIC (7022)
2/7/2013
RM2.18
Strong BUY
RM2.97
RM2.28
+4.5%
IGB (1597)
2/7/2013
RM2.54
Trading BUY
RM3.00
RM2.48
-2.4%
YTL(4677)
3/7/2013
RM1.64
ACCUMULATE
RM2.00
RM1.64
0.0%
INTEGRAX (9555)
3/7/2013
RM1.64
BUY
RM2.00
RM1.60
+2.5%
MRCB(1651)
4/7/2013
RM1.53
ACCUMULATE
RM1.80
RM1.60
+4.5%
KPJ(5878)
4/7/2013
RM6.78
SELL
RM6.11
RM6.59
-2.8%
ILB (5614)
5/7/2013
RM1.44
BUY
RM1.80
RM1.43
-0.7%
SCOMIES(7045)
5/7/2013
RM0.78
Take Profit into Strength
RM0.66
RM0.98
+25.0%