Thursday, August 15, 2013

Morning Call | 15 August 2013


FLOWS
Thursday, 15 August, 2013
BUY
CIMB, DIALOG, MRCB
SELL
MAS, PBBANK, AXIATA
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
BUY BACK TP
PTARAS(9598)
15/8/2013
RM6.16
Trading SELL
RM5.50
The share price has moved up c23% over the past 2 weeks, on expectations that Co will be the best proxy to the piling sector in Malaysia, driven by developments in large scale infrastructure, property and O&G projects. Being an industry leader with PBT margins in excess of 30%, OB is expected to pick up strongly from the MYR150m currently to about MYR300. Demand for piling works is expected to accelerate over the next 6-12 months, with additional jobs coming from Iskandar, RAPID, TRX, WCE and new property launches. Pintaras’s B/S is strong, with net cash of RM110m or RM1.38/share as at March 2013. However, valuation is looking stretched after the price rise. Trading at c9.5x FY06/14, Co is still exposed to the cyclicality of the construction, property & O&G sectors & influx of foreign piling contractors to the local market. Share liquidity remains low despite the one-for-one bonus issue announced recently, RSI at 76. – Trading Sell, buyback at RM5.50 ( 8.5X FY06/14)
(AK)
 
SUPERMX(7106)
15/8/2013
RM2.40
Trading SELL
RM2.08
The weakening MYR against the USD recently, the expectations that margins will improve from 2QFY13 & new capacity from the 12 replacement lines and 2 new plants over FY13 & FY14 have all contributed to the strong share price run +18% over the past 2 weeks. A strong Q2 FY13 results, which we expect margins to improve, will also dispel skepticism that Supermax is unable to implement cost pass through. Co remains a beneficiary of a weaker MYR since they do not hedge it’s USD receipts. But with the share price run, it is now trading at 11.6x FY13, above the 5-year mean PE of 9x for FY13 earnings. Management has also guided for a higher effective tax rate, as the group is close to full utilization of its reinvestment allowances (RA) claims & that MITI has refused RA extension for the sector. There also remains the fear that over capacity expansions could lead to price competition & lower margins in 2H13. We reckon the Supermax is fairly valued now, RSI at 79; Trading Sell, Buyback at RM2.08 (10x PE FY13).
(AK)
 

Calls for  AUGUST Week 1/Week 2
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
KPJ(5878)
5/8/2013
RM6.67
ACCUMULATE on weakness
RM7.25
RM6.68
+0.1%
MYEG(0138)
5/8/2013
RM1.88
ACCUMULATE
RM2.20
RM1.93
+2.6%
PANTECH(5125)
6/8/2013
RM1.04
BUY
RM1.40
RM1.08
+3.8%
SKPETRO(5218)
6/8/2013
RM3.84
ACCUMULATE on weakness
RM4.60
RM3.74
-2.7%
MUHIBAH(5703)
12/8/2013
RM2.48
ACCUMULATE
-
RM2.51
+1.2%
SUNREIT(5176)
12/8/2013
RM1.36
ACCUMULATE
-
RM1.36
0.0%
WCT(9679)
13/8/2013
RM2.52
BUY
RM3.08
RM2.54
+0.8%
CENSOF (5195)
13/8/2013
RM0.525
BUY
RM0.69
RM0.55
+4.7%
SKPETRO(5218)
14/8/2013
RM3.71
BUY
-
RM3.74
+0.8%
RHBCAP(1066)
14/8/2013
RM8.05
BUY
-
RM8.05
0.0%

We’ve added an extra feature (first column from right) to indicate our recommendation for our call.

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY