Monday, August 26, 2013

Morning Call | 26 August 2013


FLOWS
Monday, 26 August, 2013
BUY
MRCB, TM, SUNREIT
SELL
ARMADA, GENTING, TOPGLOVE
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
BAT (4162)
26/8/2013
RM62.30
Trading SELL
-
Stock is trading above consensus analysts’ 12-month target price of RM60.36 and with high valuations of trailing PER & p/bk of 22.3x & 36.6x respectively vis-à-vis its 5-year average of PER 18.5x & p/bk of 27.3x. 10-year MGS has increased more than 80bps over the last 3 months to 3.82%, reducing the attractiveness of dividend yielding stocks like BAT. The tobacco sector is also susceptible to a potential hike in excise duty in the coming budget as excise duty has been stagnant for the last 3 years and the government is in dire need to reduce its fiscal deficit after the Fitch’s credit outlook downgrade. In addition, the Health Ministry has hinted of stricter tobacco regulations which would mean tougher operating conditions & risk of losing more of its market share to the illicit operators. Trading sell
(PT/LJN)
 

GENM (4715)
26/8/2013
RM4.20
Take Profit
-
Stock has rallied strongly post the announcement of the RM400m redevelopment plan, extending its ytd gains to 20% versus the KLCI index’s 1.9%. With such outperformance, Genm would need further catalysts to drive the stock higher. However, recent market talks have been negative with rumour of a potential 5% increase in casino tax to 30% and the likely delay of gaming liberalisation in New York & Miami to next year, hence cubing casino expansion plans. We advocate to lock in your gains in current difficult markets. Take profit
(PT/LJN)
 

Calls for  AUGUST Week 3/Week 4
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
NAIM(5073)
19/8/2013
RM3.86
Trading BUY
-
RM3.59
-7.0%
MHB (5186)
19/8/2013
RM4.07
ACCUMULATE
-
RM3.63
-11.1%
E&O(3417)
20/8/2013
RM2.19
Trading SELL
RM2.00
RM2.05
-6.4%
GAMUDA(5398)
20/8/2013
RM4.62
BUY on weakness
RM5.20
RM4.34
-6.1%
GASMSIA(5209)
21/8/2013
RM3.37
Take Profit
-
RM3.30
-2.1%%
DIALOG (7277)
21/8/2013
RM2.68
ACCUMULATE on weakness
-
RM2.66
-0.7%
CBIP (7076)
22/8/2013
RM2.79
BUY
RM3.60
RM2.74
-1.8%
WTK(4243)
22/8/2013
RM1.33
ACCUMULATE
1.74
RM1.32
-0.8%
GAB (3255)
22/8/2013
RM18.00
SELL
RM16.00
RM18.10
-0.5%
UOADEV(5200)
23/8/2013
RM2.24
ACCUMULATE
RM2.60
RM2.22
-0.9%

 

We’ve added an extra feature (first column from right) to indicate our recommendation for our call.

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY