Friday, August 23, 2013

Morning Calls | 23 August 2013


FLOWS
Thursday, 23 August, 2013
BUY
CIMB, GAMUDA, MAYBANK
SELL
SKPETRO, DAYANG, MUHIBBAH, UEMS
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
GAB (3255)
22/8/2013
RM18.00
SELL
RM16.00
Share price has risen 4 folds since 2009 despite only seeing net profit increase of 53% during this period. FY13 net profit only posted a modest 5% growth with slightly disappointing dividend of 68.5sen. 4Q profit margins also saw contraction to 8%. We believe recent demand from investors for higher yielding assets as well as outflow of funds could trigger a de-rating of the stock. Risk includes 1) increase of taxes which has paused for 7years. 2) recent devaluation of MYR vs USD could impact its margins especially the premium segment 3) lack of major events 4) Heightened competition among players 5) Mean reversion of valuation. 7yr historical PE is 16x vs current 22x while dividend was 8% vs current 4.2%. Share price currently sits close to 200MA of RM17.83 and could retest RM16.00 level (19.5x JuneFY14). (TYK)
 

 
UOADEV(5200)
23/8/2013
RM2.24
ACCUMULATE
RM2.60
Share price has fallen 13% from its recent high of RM2.58. It is among the cheapest property names at 7.4xFY14PE with dividend exceeding 6%. New sales for FY13 is expected to exceed RM2bn compared to 2012 of RM1.7bn. This is supported by upcoming major launches such as Kencana Square (GDV:RM1.5bn), Kepong V (RM1.5bn) as well as Jalan Ipoh (RM2.9bn). Given its RNAV of RM3.60 we believe current valuation is undemanding. RSI has also fallen to 33%. Buy with target price RM2.60 (TYK)
 

Calls for  AUGUST Week 2/Week 3
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
TRC (5054)
16/8/2013
RM0.64
Trading BUY
RM0.75
RM0.59
-7.8%
TIMECOM(5031)
16/8/2013
RM4.00
BUY
-
RM3.71
-7.3%
NAIM(5073)
19/8/2013
RM3.86
Trading BUY
-
RM3.57
-7.5%
MHB (5186)
19/8/2013
RM4.07
ACCUMULATE
-
RM3.60
-11.5%
E&O(3417)
20/8/2013
RM2.19
Trading SELL
RM2.00
RM2.06
-6.0%
GAMUDA(5398)
20/8/2013
RM4.62
BUY on weakness
RM5.20
RM4.46
-3.4%
GASMSIA(5209)
21/8/2013
RM3.37
Take Profit
-
RM3.37
0.0%
DIALOG (7277)
21/8/2013
RM2.68
ACCUMULATE on weakness
-
RM2.66
-0.7%
CBIP (7076)
22/8/2013
RM2.79
BUY
RM3.60
RM2.76
-0.1%
WTK(4243)
22/8/2013
RM1.33
ACCUMULATE
1.74
RM1.33
0.00

 

We’ve added an extra feature (first column from right) to indicate our recommendation for our call.

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY