Monday, October 28, 2013

Morning Call | 28 October 2013


FLOWS
Monday, 28 October, 2013
BUY
ARMADA, GENTING
SELL
KIMLUN, MUDAJYA, GAMUDA
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
KEURO(3565)
28/10/2013
RM1.26
ACCUMULATE
RM1.58
Group is on a rising trend since it bottomed in August’13 and is currently trading near the upward sloping trend line support, an attractive level to initiate accumulation of the stock. It is at about 7% discount to RM1.35, the price that MWE paid for its 22.2% stake in KEuro which was completed at the end of September’13. Its West Coast Expressway (WCE) was quoted by the PM as a key project during his Budget 2014 speech. This would definitely add confidence to the feasibility of WCE and facilitate the securing of project financing, hence achieving Financial Close as required by the Concession Agreement – an important catalyst for this stock performance. The Bandar Rimbayu property launches from its 40% associate, Radiant Pillar, have received overwhelming response in view of the core competencies and branding of their JV partner, IJMLand, which will also enhance the value of Bandar Rimbayu (total GDV estimated at RM10b).  KEuro has an RNAV of RM2.24, a 30% discount to RNAV will value the stock at RM1.58, a decent return of 25% return from current price. Accumulate
(PT)
 

CARLSBG(2836)
28/10/2013
RM12.46
Trading BUY
RM15.00
Company will see a relief rally as there were no further increase in excise duties (sin taxes) in Budget 2014. Carlsberg dropped from a recent high of RM15.06 on the back of this fear to a low of RM12.16. Last Friday, saw the first day of rebound and it is likely the stock may retrace to its gap down level at RM13.68 – 13.78, which is incidentally close to it 50% retracement of this down move. Excise duties on alcoholic beverages may also not increase in the near future because of Visit Malaysia Year (VMY) 2014 as any increase will be counterproductive to efforts to attract tourists to Malaysia. On the other hand, Carlsberg may benefit from VMY as the expected higher tourist arrivals will provide a fillip to its sales volume.  Trading buy
(PT)
 
 
Calls for  OCT Week 3/ Week 4
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
UEMS (5148)
21/10/2013
RM2.51
ACCUMULATE
RM3.22
RM2.60
+3.5%
MRCB (1651)
21/10/2013
RM1.46
ACCUMULATE
RM1.70
RM1.46
0.0%
WEIDA (7111)
22/10/2013
RM1.74
BUY
RM2.45
RM1.74
0.0%
WCT(9679)
22/10/2013
RM2.45
BUY
RM3.08
RM2.44
-0.5%
MAXIS (6012)
23/10/2013
RM7.21
TAKE PROFIT
RM6.70
RM7.20
-0.2%
KULIM (2003)
23/10/2013
RM3.27
ACCUMULATE
RM3.80
RM3.31
+1.2%
ENGTEX(5056)
24/10/2013
RM1.60
BUY on weakness
RM2.00
RM1.67
-4.3%
FAVCO (7229)
24/10/2013
RM2.79
ACCUMULATE
RM3.60
RM2.91
+4.3%
BRAHIMS (9474)
25/10/2013
RM1.50
BUY
RM2.04
RM1.48
-1.2%
GLOMAC(5020)
25/10/2013
RM1.19
Trading BUY
RM1.45
RM1.19
0.0%

 

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY