Thursday, October 31, 2013

Morning Call | 30 October 2013


FLOWS
Wednesday, 30 October, 2013
BUY
PERISAI, CIMB
SELL
SKPETRO, MAXIS, ARMADA
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
IJM (3336)
30/10/2013
RM5.84
ACCUMULATE
RM6.70
Group is seen as a major beneficiary from the recently announced Budget 2014, as it look set to leverage on the rollout of 2 major projects highlighted, namely the West Coast Expressway (WCE) and the Kuantan Port expansion. These projects may signal a turnaround of IJM’s construction division with the normalization of profit margins. The 2 projects could more than double OB to RM8b. The WCE is expected to achieve financial close within the next 2 quarters. IJM could secure c70% of capex works. The emergence of China’s Guangxi Beibu Group as a 40% shareholder of Kuantan Port for RM334m should also prove positive for IJM’s planned RM3b investment at the port. From here, IJM & Guangxi Beibu may move to formalize a JV pact to develop c700 acres of land located north of Kuantan Port. The strategic network of Guangxi Beibu is also understood to be seeking investors for a steel mill, aluminium processing plant & edible oil processing plant in Kuantan. WCE & Phase 1 of Kuantan Port will provide group with close to RM5b worth of job opportunities. IJM’s share price has consolidated at current level for the past month, multiples attractive at 15.4x & 13x for FY03/14 & 15 respectively, P/Bk of 1.4x. Also. following the sale of IJM shares by Zelan over the last 6 months ( 38.4m collectively), the overhang has reduced significantly ( balance of 18.3m shares by our estimate) -  Accumulate, as it remains a blue chip laggard which is likely to have more positive news flow in the coming months. ( TP RM 6.70 based on 15x FY03/15 )
(AK)
 
UOADEV (5200)
30/10/2013
RM2.22
BUY
RM2.68
Group’s share price has been fairly depressed in the 3 months leading up to the Budget 2014. This is despite the group’s commendable 1H13 performance, which came in within expectation. New property sales was strong at RM1.34b, driven by its on-going projects (incl Horizon office blocks, Binjai 8, Desa Green ). The recently announced measures in Budget 2014 to curb speculation in the property sector ( incl tweaking of RPGT rates, minimum ceiling prices of foreign property purchases, removal of DIBS ) are far more benign compared to what the market had earlier anticipated. We expect sentiments on property stocks to improve as key policy overhangs have now been removed. UOA would be an excellent proxy for a sector rebound, given it’s attractive valuation of  7.5x FY14 PER, high dividend yield of over 6% ( more attractive that MReits average of 5.5%), strong net cash position and strong branding & track record. Strong sales should continue to provide re-rating catalysts. BUY ( TP RM 2.68, based on 9x FY14).
(AK)
 
 

Calls for  OCT Week 3/ Week 4
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
WEIDA (7111)
22/10/2013
RM1.74
BUY
RM2.45
RM1.87
+2.2%
WCT(9679)
22/10/2013
RM2.45
BUY
RM3.08
RM2.45
0.0%
MAXIS (6012)
23/10/2013
RM7.21
TAKE PROFIT
RM6.70
RM7.20
-0.1%
KULIM (2003)
23/10/2013
RM3.27
ACCUMULATE
RM3.80
RM3.38
+3.3%
ENGTEX(5056)
24/10/2013
RM1.60
BUY on weakness
RM2.00
RM1.71
+6.8%
FAVCO (7229)
24/10/2013
RM2.79
ACCUMULATE
RM3.60
RM2.86
+2.5%
BRAHIMS (9474)
25/10/2013
RM1.50
BUY
RM2.04
RM1.50
0.0%
GLOMAC(5020)
25/10/2013
RM1.19
Trading BUY
RM1.45
RM1.14
-4.3%
KEURO(3565)
28/10/2013
RM1.26
ACCUMULATE
RM1.58
RM1.27
+0.7%
CARLSBG(2836)
28/10/2013
RM12.46
Trading BUY
RM15.00
RM12.48
+0.1%
MAGNUM (3859)
29/10/2013
RM3.31
Trading BUY
RM3.60
RM3.29
-0.7%
KPJ (5878)
29/10/2013
RM6.15
ACCUMULATE
RM6.80
RM6.12
-0.5%

 

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY