Tuesday, December 10, 2013

Morning Call | 10 December 2013


FLOWS
Tuesday, 10 December, 2013
BUY
SKPETRO, TM, MAYBANK
SELL
AXIATA, IOICORP, MEDIA
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
KULIM (2003)
10/12/2013
RM3.58
Trading BUY
RM4.00
Stock is an attractive trade for year-end window dressing which is currently evident due to the followings: 1) Johor Corp, KWAP & EPF control 73% of its shareholdings; 2) Kulim provided an average return of 12.4% for the month of December over the last 3 years; 3) Kulim is a laggard amongst the bigger plantation players in Malaysia with a year to date negative return of 9.8% versus its peers average returns of +9.6%; and 4) it is in the current favourite plantation sector which has been neglected and under owned by the foreign investors for the past year due to the depressing CPO prices and the global underweighting of commodity & commodity-related stocks. However, recently investors have been flocking into the plantation sector again due to the improving fundamentals such as the biodiesel mandates in Malaysia & Indonesia, the slower-than-expected FFB & CPO production from tree stress & severe wet weather, coupled with the plantation sector entering a seasonally low production period which have all been supportive of higher CPO prices of which Kulim is a pure play after having sold its fast food business. Kulim is currently trading at FY14 PER of 19.6x which is in line with big caps plantation stocks average FY14 PER of 20x, but is undervalued on a p/bk basis with its p/bk at 1.2x versus its peers average of 2.4x. Trading buy
(PT)
 
 

SEALINK (5145)
10/12/2013
RM0.40
Trading BUY
RM0.50
Stock faced selling pressure recently due to its exclusion from the Syariah List. We view this as a buying opportunity as the selling is due to complying with technicalities and not due to deteriorating fundamentals. We also not expecting the selling to be excessive as a perusal of the top 30 shareholders listing revealed the absence of any major Islamic funds holding sizeable positions in the stock. The last few days of trading showed the selling to be well absorbed with yesterday’s trading particularly impressive - volume increased substantially in a +2.6% day. Sealink’s chartering of marine support vessels business is predominantly focused on the offshore O&G industry. It has a young and diverse fleet of 40 vessels that cater to a wide base of reputable clients. It is not surprising that this division has been doing very well this year with both higher utilization & charter rates. This division has also been boosted by the delivery of 2 state-of-the-art diesel-powered hybrid anchor handlers with DP-2 positioning which will contribute handsomely to Q4’13 &FY14 profits. Its Achilles’ heel, the shipbuilding & repair division, which has been suffering losses these last 2 years, is showing signs of improvement with the announcement of contracts secured for the disposal of 3 vessels in Q4 and expectations of further orders with the buoyant local O&G sector.. Sealink’s valuation is highly attractive with a p/bk of 0.46x & FY14 PER of 5.9x compared to a current favourite with similar business profile (although different offshore assets), Coastal Contract, with p/bk of 1.7x & FY14 PER of 9.3x. Buy
(PT)
 

Calls for  DEC week 1/week 2
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
SYSCORP (5173)
3/12/2013
RM0.435
BUY
RM0.65
RM0.455
+4.5%
CMSB (2852)
3/12/2013
RM6.09
Take Profit
-
RM6.24
+2.4%
SENDAI (5205)
4/12/2013
RM1.16
ACCUMULATE
RM1.60
RM1.21
+4.3%
TROP (5401)
4/12/2013
RM1.36
ACCUMULATE
RM1.70
RM1.36
0.0%
SUPERMX (7106)
5/12/2013
RM2.68
BUY
RM3.40
RM2.70
+0.7%
UOADEV (5200)
5/12/2013
RM1.98
BUY
RM1.70
RM2.00
+1.0%
IOICORP (1961)
6/12/2013
RM5.80
Trading BUY
RM6.20
RM6.00
+3.4%
JTIASA (4383)
6/12/2013
RM2.22
BUY
RM2.90
RM2.23
+0.4%
WCT (9679)
9/12/2013
RM2.24
Trading BUY
RM2.50
RM2.25
+0.4%
WTK (4243)
9/12/2013
RM1.23
Trading BUY
RM1.50
RM1.22
-0.9%

 

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY