Tuesday, January 7, 2014

Morning Call | 6 January 2014

FLOWS
Monday, 6 January 2014
BUY
MAYBANK, SUPERM, UEMS
SELL
SKPETRO, AIRASIA, CIMB
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
SENDAI (5205)
6/1/2013
RM1.03
BUY
RM1.29
Most, if not all, of the institutional stocks that were sold down towards the end of 2013 have rebounded quite sharply in the first 2 days of trading of 2014 except for Sendai, which is still languishing at the bottom in severe oversold territory (RSI = 20%). We are of the opinion that this is a trading opportunity as the fundamentals are still intact with potential sharp earnings reversal in the next 1-3 quarters. The company has been prudent and has rightly recognised costs incurred on RM35m of variation order(VO) claims which have not been finalised with their clients. Management has guided that these VO will be settled and recognised in the next few quarters. Sendai has also incurred start-up costs as they diversified their expertise into the lucrative Oil & Gas industry where they are targeting high-margin structure steel jobs for petrochemical plants & related fabrication works. The company has acquired an 80% stake in Sumatec Rngineering & Construction (now called Eversendai Oil & Gas) which is now applying for a renewal of the Petronas license which has expired in 2013. While awaiting the renewal, Sendai has tendered for RM2b worth of subcontracting jobs. In addition, Qatar, a key market & where Sendai has comparative advantage from their years of business experience there, is expected to call for tenders this year for infrastructure works on projects for World Expo 2020 & World Cup 2022. Sendai trades at an atrractive PER of 7.7x for FY14 & 6.7x for FY15. Buy
(PT)
 

ALAM(5115)
6/1/2013
RM1.53
BUY
RM1.80
Stock is currently trading near the lower end of its trading range and with its technical indicators confirming a near-term bottom. The weekly chart is also exhibiting an interesting ascending triangle pattern dating back to July’13, with resistance at RM1.60. Fundamentally, Alam is trading at an attractive PER of 11.3x for FY14 compared to the average PER of its peers in the offshore marine Oil & Gas sector of 13.5x. It is also expected to report continued improvement in year-on-year profit performance for the forth-coming Q4 results after 3 good quarters due to both higher utilisation rates & daily charter rates. In addition, Alam is tipped to be a front runner for RM1.2b – RM1.5b contracts for supply of underwater services. These contracts were previously awarded to Offshoreworks Group and is currently in financial distress. Alam has an outstanding order book of RM2b which is equivalent to 4x of FY12 turnover. Buy
(PT)
 
 
Calls for  DEC week 3/ JAN week 1 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
DRBHCOM (1619)
17/12/2013
RM2.74
BUY
RM3.10
RM2.72
-0.8%
TAANN (5012)
17/12/2013
RM4.14
BUY
RM4.56
RM4.18
+0.9%
DELEUM (5132)
18/12/2013
RM4.03
BUY
RM4.68
RM4.34
+7.6%
E&O(3417)
18/12/2013
RM1.93
Trading BUY
RM2.76
RM1.86
-3.7%
UNISEM (5005)
19/12/2013
RM0.89
BUY
RM1.30
RM1.02
+17.9%
BURSA (1818)
19/12/2013
RM8.09
BUY
RM9.84
RM8.13
+0.4%
TIMECOM (5031)
2/1/2013
RM3.55
BUY
RM4.00
RM3.64
+2.5%
JTIASA (4383)
2/1/2013
RM2.04
BUY
RM2.30
RM2.13
+4.4%
MUHIBBAH (5703)
3/1/2013
RM2.31
BUY
RM3.00
RM2.30
+0.5%
GADANG (9261)
3/1/2013
RM1.02
BUY
RM1.60
RM1.02
0.0%
 
HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY