Tuesday, February 4, 2014

Morning Call | 4 February 2014


FLOWS
Tuesday, 4 February, 2014
BUY
TENAGA, GENTING, CIMB
SELL
SIME, SKPETRO, AXIATA
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
CYPARK (5184)
4/2/2014
RM2.16
ACCUMULATE on weakness
RM2.50
Cypark (RM2.16) - has corrected by 18.5% in three weeks from a high of RM2.56 to the current oversold level of RM2.16 with RSI of 30%. This is also near to its 50% retracement of its rally from RM1.69 to RM2.61 in calendar 4Q'2013. It is currently trading at attractive valuations with PER of 7.2x & 6.0x for FY14 & FY15 coupled with eps growth rates of more than 30% for the next 2 FYs due to its renewable energy division which has increased its export capacity to Tenaga by more than 3x in FY13 and is expected to increase its capacity further in FY14. The Malaysian Government Green Energy Policy plans to increase generation capacity from RE sources to 5-6% of total generation capacity by 2015 from 2% currently. Cypark has comparable advantage to secure additional RE quota for future growth because of its track record and first-mover advantage. Its p/bk of 1.79x also compares favourably against its historical average of 2.45x. The current weakness in the broad market is an opportunity to accumulate the stock.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ALAM (5115)
4/2/2014
RM1.44
ACCUMULATE
RM1.60
Alam (RM1.44) - is consolidating in an ascending triangle pattern since July'13, with the current downwward move a potential final leg of a 5-wave triangle consolidation. It is at the lower end of its trading range which provides a lower risk entry level for the stock. Fundamentally, Alam is trading at a discount compared to its mid and small cap peers with FY14 PER & p/bk of 10.7x & 1.6x  versus its peers’ FY14 average PER & p/bk of 13.5x & 2.4x. Alam has an orderbook of RM2b which is equivalent to 4x its FY12 turnover in an industry that is assured of growth for the next 2-3 years, and it is a well-established player in its sector of operations. In addition, Alam is also tipped to be a front runner for RM1.2b – RM1.5b of contracts for the supply of underwater services. These contracts were previously awarded to Offshore Works Group and is currently in financial distress. Start accumulation.
 
Calls for  JAN week 3/Week 4 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
BARAKAH (7251)
23/1/2014
RM1.70
Trading SELL
RM1.47
RM1.75
+2.9%
MUDAJYA (5085)
23/1/2014
RM2.74
Trading BUY
RM3.34
RM2.62
-4.4%
AIRPORT (5014)
24/1/2014
RM8.90
ACCUMULATE on weakness
RM10.00
RM8.46
-5.0%
PERDANA (7108)
24/1/2014
RM1.69
ACCUMULATE
RM2.00
RM1.66
-1.8%
CIMB (1023)
27/1/2014
RM6.90
Buy on Weakness
RM7.40
RM6.92
-0.2%
IOIPG (5249)
27/1/2014
RM2.85
ACCUMULATE
RM3.30
RM2.70
-5.3%
SURIA (6521)
28/1/2014
RM2.25
ACCUMULATE
RM2.94
RM2.37
+5.3%
PADINI (7052)
28/1/2014
RM1.61
ACCUMULATE
RM1.90
RM1.60
-0.6%
SKPETRO (5218)
29/1/2014
RM4.31
ACCUMULATE on weakness
RM4.90
RM4.39
+1.8%
ARMADA (5210)
29/1/2014
RM4.05
ACCUMULATE
RM4.50
RM4.05
+0.0%

 

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY