Thursday, February 6, 2014

Morning Call | 6 February 2014


FLOWS
Thursday, 6 February, 2014
BUY
TENAGA, AXIATA, MAXIS
SELL
IOICORP, SKPETRO, MISC
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
UOADEV (5200)
6/2/2014
RM1.83
Trading BUY
RM2.20
The share price has been drifting lower, down c23% from its recent 4 months high of RM2.38 in mid October 2013. This fall largely due to the negative sentiment on the property sector & government’s cooling measures proposed. At the current level, co is trading at a 50% discount to its RNAV of R3.67, a discount we believe is overdone. UOA has low borrowings and is deeply in net cash position which supports its ability to pay out it’s an estimated DPS of c13s each for FY13 & 14, translating to a compelling net dividend yield of 7.1%, which is better than most sizeable MREITs or most developers. From a PER perspective, it’s currently trading at 6.6x FY12/14, which is lower than its historical average of 7.4x. Group is also focusing on more housing priced between RM500-800k/unit, which are saleable products in the Klang Valley. RSI at 40 ; Trading Buy ( TP RM2.20, based on 40% disc to RNAV).
(AK)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
AEON (6559)
6/2/2014
RM11.86
ACCUMULATE
RM13.30
After the share price decline of 25% over the last 3 months, we believe the selloff is likely at its tail end or over. The share underperformance was likely due to its earlier lofty valuations as well as investor’s concern over an overall slowdown in consumer spending following the government’s subsidy rationalization program. While its agreed that private consumption growth will moderate,  we reckon the scale down will most likely be on discretionary items. Herein lies AEON’s strength as we believe its earnings are fairly recession proof as 50% of its revenue are essential products. This was seen during the 2008/09 crisis when the group posted sturdy net profit growth despite the economic downturn. Aeon is now trading at 15.6x FY14, below its 4-year historical mean of 16x. This is attractive, considering group’s strong branding & extensive reach in Malaysia, strong fundamentals (cashflow, BS with zero borrowings), strong management team, growth prospects & syariah compliant status. Other catalysts going forward include the opening of 4 new malls in FY14-15, SSS growth of 3% guided & a higher average occupancy rate of 98% ( 96% now). RSI at 16 ; Accumulate ( TP RM13.30, based on 17.5x FY14 EPS ).
(AK)
 
Calls for  JAN Week 4/ FEB Week 1 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
CIMB (1023)
27/1/2014
RM6.90
Buy on Weakness
RM7.40
RM6.91
+0.1%
IOIPG (5249)
27/1/2014
RM2.85
ACCUMULATE
RM3.30
RM2.55
-10.6%
SURIA (6521)
28/1/2014
RM2.25
ACCUMULATE
RM2.94
RM2.37
+5.3%
PADINI (7052)
28/1/2014
RM1.61
ACCUMULATE
RM1.90
RM1.60
-0.7%
SKPETRO (5218)
29/1/2014
RM4.31
ACCUMULATE
RM4.90
RM4.38
+1.6%
ARMADA (5210)
29/1/2014
RM4.05
ACCUMULATE
RM4.50
RM4.02
-0.8%
CYPARK (5184)
4/2/2014
RM2.16
ACCUMULATE on weakness
RM2.50
RM2.22
+2.7%
ALAM (5115)
4/2/2014
RM1.44
ACCUMULATE
RM1.60
RM1.43
-0.7%
CRESBLD(8591)
5/2/2014
RM1.44
BUY
RM1.73
RM1.50
+7.1%
DIGI (6947)
5/2/2014
RM4.68
ACCUMULATE
RM5.20
RM4.68
0.0%

 

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY