Monday, March 24, 2014

Morning Call | 24 March 2014

FLOWS
Monday, 24 March, 2014
BUY
SKPETRO, DIGI, HLBANK
SELL
IOICORP, TENAGA, GAMUDA
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
GENTING (3182)
24/3/2014
RM9.60
ACCUMULATE
RM10.50
Genting is trading close to its 50% retracement level of its rally from August 2013 low of RM8.74 to its January 2014 high of RM10.40 with wide divergence in its macd indicating oversold levels, while its short-term stochastic is on the verge of cutting up as Genting has been correcting for the past month & the rate of decline has decelerated. At current levels, it is appropriate to start accumulation. Fundamentally, Genting is also trading at trough valuation on an EV/EBITDA basis at 6.1x for FY14, close to the low during the 2003 SARS crisis and at discount of more than 30% vis-à-vis its regional peers. The deregulation of casinos is playing out across Asia and Genting is the best proxy to play this theme. Accumulate
(PT)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
KPS (5843)  
24/3/2014
RM1.63
ACCUMULATE
RM2.00
KPS has retraced sharply (-32%) from its high of RM2.41 towards the end of 2013. On its 3-year weekly chart, its current level is close to its 50% retracement of its low in September 2011 to its high in November 2013. It has a RSI of 32% and trades at near its recent support of the RM1,60 level. As KPS has accepted the Selangor state government offer within the offer period, the company is guaranteed the minimum consideration for its sale of its water assets to the state in the event of a compulsory takeover under WASIA or even if it requires arbitration. Based on the last reported balance sheet of the company at y/e 31/12/13, the proforma NAV/share of the company post the sale of water assets will be RM2.50/share, i.e. KPS is currently trading at a 35% discount to its revised NAV even without revaluing its other property-related assets which have appreciated in value sharply the last couple of years. Accumulate 
(PT)
 
 
 
Calls for  MARCH  Week 3 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
HOVID (7213)
17/3/2014
RM0.35
DEFENSIVE BUY
RM0.41
RM0.34
-2.9%
SKPETRO (5218)  
17/3/2014
RM4.19
BUY on Weakness
RM4.90
RM4.22
+0.7%
ARMADA (5210)
18/3/2014
RM3.88
BUY
RM4.30
RM3.87
-0.3%
CIMB (1023)  
18/3/2014
RM7.00
ACCUMULATE
RM7.70
RM7.08 (ex)
+1.1%
TMCLIFE(0101)
19/3/2014
RM0.37
BUY
RM0.45
RM0.38
+2.7%
AMBANK (1015)  
19/3/2014
RM7.11
Trading BUY
RM8.05
RM7.05
-0.9%
MITRA (9571)
20/3/2014
RM0.55
ACCUMULATE
RM0.70
RM0.56
+1.8%
CMMT (5180)  
20/3/2014
RM1.50
TRIM
RM1.30
RM1.48
-1.3%
IJM (3336)
21/3/2014
RM5.90
ACCUMULATE on weakness
RM6.75
RM5.98
+1.3%
UEMS (5148)  
21/3/2014
RM2.15
ACCUMULATE
RM2.60
RM2.21
+2.7%
 
 
HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY