Monday, March 3, 2014

Morning Call | 3 March 2014


FLOWS
Monday, 3 March, 2014
BUY
SKPETRO, KNM, SPSETIA
SELL
TENAGA, MRCB, TM
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
COASTAL(5071)
3/3/2014
RM4.20
BUY
RM4.65
Share price has retraced 13% from its recent high of RM 4.81 and is currently trading just above its 25 days SMA. Weakness in the share price was largely attributed to the recent management’s proposal of 10% private  placement  based  on  issued  and  paid-up  number  of  shares  of 483.1m with an indicative price of RM 3.81. Fundamentally, Coastal Contract is performing well with its full-year FY13 net profit of RM 151.6m beating expectations; underpinned by stronger margins and vessel deliveries. Year to date orderbook is strong at RM 2.5bn, which includes the 20-year drilling contract worth RM 1.24bn and approximately RM 1.26bn comes from the shipbuilding segment. The portion attributable to the shipbuilding is believed to be mostly due by FY14. BUY with a TP of RM 4.65 (after assuming a maximum scenario for the private placement), based on a target FY15 P/E of 14x.
(KL)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
SUPERMX(7106)  
3/3/2014
RM2.78
BUY
RM3.56
Share price has dropped 30 cent in just a week time. The decline is due to its FY13’s earnings failed to meet the market expectations. Supermax’s 4Q13 revenue fell by 32% to RM192m; hit by both lower volume sales and average selling price (ASP) of nitrile gloves. The lower volume sales were due to an unfortunate fire incident at its Alor Gajah, Malacca plant leading to a loss in production output. However, the loss of production is just a temporary issue as 50% of the production lines impacted by the fire are now up and running since mid-Jan 2014 and the remaining production lines are expected to commence by end-Mar 2014. Going forward, growth is expected to be driven by two new plants, namely Lot 6059 and Lot 6058, which are on track to commission commercial productions by end 1Q14 or early 2Q14. Lot 6059 and 6058 will have 24 and 16 production lines producing 3.2b and 2.2b pieces of nitrile gloves, respectively, bringing the total nitrile production capacity from 6.9b (including the 1.4bn in Lot 6070) to 12.3b pieces p.a. or 52% of the total installed capacity. Given the strong demand for nitrile gloves, SUPERMX is currently facing a two-month oversold position. The current weakness in the stock price may seem to be a good opportunity to accumulate the stock. Buy with a TP of RM 3.56 (FY14 PE of 15x).
(KL)
Calls for  FEB Week 2/Week 32014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
KIMLUN (5171)
24/2/2014
RM1.59
ACCUMULATE
RM1.96
RM1.58
-0.7%
TSH (9059)
24/2/2014
RM3.00
ACCUMULATE
RM3.60
RM3.03
1.0%
GTRONIC (7022)
25/2/2014
RM3.28
ACCUMULATE
RM4.00
RM3.30
+0.6%
TDM (2054)  
25/2/2014
RM0.94
ACCUMULATE
RM1.50
RM0.935
-0.6%
DRBHICOM (1619)
26/2/2014
RM2.68
ACCUMULATE on weakness
RM2.95
RM2.55
-4.9%
           IRCB (2127)  
26/2/2014
RM0.375
Trading BUY
RM0.55
RM0.375
+0.0%
KSL (5038)
27/2/2014
RM2.14
ACCUMULATE
RM2.80
RM2.13
0.0%
MAYBULK (5077)  
27/2/2014
RM2.14
SELL into Strength
RM1.80
RM2.05
-4.3%
BARAKAH (7251)
28/2/2014
RM1.57
Trading BUY
RM1.76
RM1.54
-2.0%
SILKHLD(5078)  
28/2/2014
RM0.64
Trading BUY
RM0.74
RM0.62
-3.1%
 
HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY