Monday, May 26, 2014

Morning Call | 22 May 2014

FLOWS
Thursday, 22 May, 2014
BUY
AIRASIA, TENAGA, IOICORP
SELL
MRCB, SIME, GAMUDA
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
KPS (5843)
22/5/2014
RM1.52
Trading Buy
RM2.50
has corrected sharply (-32%) from its high of RM2.41 at the end of 2013 to a low of RM1.40 earlier this month. On its 3-year weekly chart, it is a retracement of more than 50% retracement from the low (RM0.59) in September 2011 to the high (RM2.41) in November 2013. It then rebounded from the RM1.40 low to a high of RM1.63 on news of a potential resolution in the impasse between the various water sector players and the Selangor state government. It was reported that the Economic Council has stepped in to resolve the long-standing dispute. As KPS has accepted the Selangor state government offer within the offer period, the company is guaranteed the minimum consideration for its sale of its water assets to the state in the event of a compulsory takeover under WASIA or even if it requires arbitration. Based on the last reported balance sheet of the company at y/e 31/12/13, the NAV of the company was RM2.19/share, i.e. KPS is currently trading at a 31% discount to its NAV even without revaluing its other property-related assets which have appreciated in value sharply the last couple of years. If KPS is able to obtain the book value for SPLASH, the incremental improvement in NAV is RM1.37/share and this will resolve the take-over of the Selangor assets impasse as per SPLASH's chairman. Trading buy TP: RM2.50 (PT)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
DRBHCOM (1619)
22/5/2014
RM2.42
Accumulate
RM3.00
is currently sitting at the support level for the past 6 months, a low risk level for entry of the stock especially with the recent newsflows of action been taken to revitalize Proton with the revamp in management & the appointment of new CEOs in Proton & Lotus. The appointment of Tun Dr Mahathir as the chairman of Proton & Lotus bodes well for Proton, Lotus & DRB in view of his influence over government policies and his statesmanship that facilitates the opening of overseas markets. The fundamentals are improving with its main division, the Proton-led auto division gaining market share with their new models, Suprima S & Saga SV, due to their competitive pricing from parts standardisation & streamlining of supply chain cost savings. It is slated to introduce the planned global small car by the middle of this year, a hybrid model by year-end and an electric car by the end of next year. This is part of the Proton’s 5-year business plan which targets to sell 500,000 cars per annum, including 150,000 units for exports, by 2017/18.  It was also reported that Proton will deliver 3,000 units of the new Perdana replacement model to replace the government’s existing fleet. DRB said that they have also received requests from state governments and statutory bodies to make the switch as well. There were recent newsflow of impending introduction of mandatory inspection of passenger vehicles. DRB’s subsidiary, Puspakom, which has the sole concession to undertake computerised inspections for all commercial vehicles until 31/8/2024 will likely be the main beneficiary from this move. Deftech, the military equipment subsidiary, is scheduled to deliver 12 units of its armoured-wheeled vehicles to the Malaysian military by year-end which will the boost profit contribution from the defense division. This is part of the 257 vehicles contract (valued RM7.55b) to be delivered by 2018. Accumulate  (PT)
 
Calls for  MAY WEEK 2/ WEEK 3 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
OCK (0172)
15/5/2014
RM1.42
TRADING BUY
RM1.70
RM1.46
+0.7%
TDM (2054)  
15/5/2014
RM1.00
TRADING BUY
RM1.20
RM0.985
-1.5%
SPSETIA (8664)
16/5/2014
RM2.97
ACCUMULATE
RM3.50
RM2.93
-1.3%
PRESBHD (5204)  
16/5/2014
RM1.91
ACCUMULATE
RM 2.20
RM1.93
+1.0%
YINSON (7293)
19/5/2014
RM4.90
BUY
RM5.50
RM4.79
-2.2%
IOICORP (1961)
19/5/2014
RM5.30
TAKE PROFIT
RM4.90
RM5.20
-1.9%
COASTAL (5071)
20/5/2014
RM4.74
ACCUMULATE
RM5.94
RM4.79
+1.1%
PERDANA (7108)
20/5/2014
RM1.73
ACCUMULATE
RM2.25
RM1.77
+2.3%
SKPETRO (5218)
21/5/2014
RM4.24
ACCUMULATE
RM5.57
RM4.24
+0.0%
AXIATA (6888)
21/5/2014
RM6.95
Take Profit
-
RM6.93
-0.3%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Good Call
 
            Not Good Call