Thursday, July 31, 2014

Morning Call | 30 July 2014

FLOWS
Wednesday, July 30, 2014
BUY
SKPETRO, CIMB, ALAM
SELL
AIRASIA, PBBANK, DIGI
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
TROP (5401)
30/7/2014
RM1.44
Accumulate
RM1.94
Share price has recovered from its recent low of RM1.34 with MACD on the verge of cutting up. We see further upside to Tropicana and advocate an accumulate call. Tropicana’s FY14 target sales of RM2bn remain intact with sales reportedly hitting RM1bn in May. 2H14 new launches in Tropicana Heights (GDV: RM376m) and Tropicana Aman (GDV: RM770m) are landed residential projects which expects strong takeups. Its monetisation exercise has garner pace with recent land sales in Canal city, Jalan Kia Peng, and Jalan Bukit Bintang. Company’s ambition is to monetise smaller parcels of lands and investment properties such as Tropicana city mall with targeted gearing of 0.3x by 2016. This is expected to narrow its discount to RNAV which currently stands at 63% (RM3.89). Furthermore, after August exercise price to convert major shareholder’s RCULS from its asset injection will rise to RM1.50 for subsequent 3 years. This will mitigate concerns of dilution and potentially result in a floor to the price. Accumulate with TP: RM1.94. (TYK)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
MHB (5186)
30/7/2014
RM3.58
ACCUMULATE
RM4.10
Share price hovers near its recent low of RM3.46. Current orderbook of RM2.3bn is made up mostly from its Malakai TLP and SK316 topside fabrication job with yard utilisation of less than 60%. Tenderbook is RM4-5bn with job such as central processing platform, Bardegg 2 project to be awarded by 3QCY14 with a contract value of MYR1bn-1.2bn. Other projects on tender include Baronia CPP, Nosong wellhead platform off Sabah and various Petronas EOR projects. Given its yard space and partnership with Technip, MHB stands a high chance of bagging some of these contracts. MHB Shariah status could appeal as other O&G name such as SKPETRO may no longer hold the status by Nov. Accumulate with TP: RM4.10 (TYK)
 
Calls for  JULY WEEK 3/ WEEK 4 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
PANTECH (5125)
21/7/2014
RM1.14
ACCUMULATE
RM1.30
RM1.10
-3.6%
L&G (3174)
21/7/2014
RM0.565
ACCUMULATE
RM0.675
RM0.575
+1.7%
POS (4634)
22/7/2014
RM5.33
TRIM
-
RM5.15
-3.3%
PERISAI (0047)
22/7/2014
RM1.50
ACCUMULATE
RM1.88
RM1.50
+0.0%
NAIM (5073)
23/7/2014
RM4.05
BUY
RM4.50
RM3.99
-1.5%
GAMUDA (5398)
23/7/2014
RM4.76
BUY
RM5.30
RM4.75
-0.2%
GASMSIA (5209)
24/7/2014
RM3.36
ACCUMULATE
RM3.65
RM3.40
+1.1%
AFG (2488)
24/7/2014
RM5.04
ACCUMULATE
RM5.50
RM4.99
-1.0%
PDZ (6254)
25/7/2014
RM0.16
Trading BUY
RM0.20
RM0.165
+3.1%
PETDAG (5681)
25/7/2014
RM19.22
ACCUMULATE
RM22.00
RM19.04
-0.9%
 
 
Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral