Friday, August 1, 2014

Morning Call | 1 August 2014

FLOWS
Friday, 1 August, 2014
BUY
MAYBANK, PBBANK, TENAGA
SELL
IOICORP, CIMB, DIGI
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
MAYBULK (5077)
1/8/2014
RM1.76
ACCUMULATE
RM2.20
Share price has remained relatively depressed following the group’s poor Q1 results. However, we reckon that the performance in the subsequent quarters will improve, as we expect volume & demand ahead to be driven by expansion of Australian iron ore production capacity, the narrowing of demand & supply gap of dry bulk vessels globally, as well as robust iron ore stockpiling from emerging markets, especially China. Management has reaffirmed its optimism of dry bulk shipping continuing to strengthen in 2H 2014. The recent acceptance of a RM320m term loan facility is positive, and reiterates the group’s intention and capability of renewing & expanding their dry bulk fleet to capture the potential recovery in the dry bulk shipping segment. We can expect a stronger 2H for dry bulk shipping due to seasonality & Maybulk is expected to benefit. As for the tanker segment, although no fleet expansion is planned, performance could improve due to recovery in global economy & possibly better charter rates. RSI @ 40; Accumulate on weakness (TP RM2.20, based on 1.2x BVPS or 21x FY15 EPS).
(AK)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
DESTINI (7212)
1/8/2014
RM0.705
Trading BUY
RM0.86
The share price has consolidated well for a month now, following it’s run up to 74s in early July. The group has drawn attention, after it business expansion plans transformed it from a pure aviation MRO service provider into an integrated engineering solution provider focusing on the aviation, marine & O&G industry. Its aviation division is backed by a strong OB of RM250m, the marine division has shifted focus to the manufacturing of O&G lifeboats & potential tie-ups with industry leaders, while the O&G division is underpinned by an OB of RM750m. The recent acquisitions of Vanguard, Samudra Oil Tubular Handling Services & TFC could potentially translate to a very strong PATAMI growth for FY14 & 15. With the restructuring and shift into the commercial sector, the group hopes to rely less on governmrnt contracts to fuel growth. Another re-rating catalyst could be it securing a RM1b 5-year MRO JV contract from the Middle East. Recently, it was announced that its major shareholder Datuk Rozabil has raised his shareholding by 6.7% to 20.45%. We consider this positive, as he consolidates his position & focuses now on delivery. MACD on the verge of cutting up ;  Trading Buy  (TP RM 0.86, based on 13x FY15).
(AK)
 
 
Calls for  JULY WEEK 4 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
NAIM (5073)
23/7/2014
RM4.05
BUY
RM4.50
RM4.01
-1.0%
GAMUDA (5398)
23/7/2014
RM4.76
BUY
RM5.30
RM4.78
+0.4%
GASMSIA (5209)
24/7/2014
RM3.36
ACCUMULATE
RM3.65
RM3.40
+1.1%
AFG (2488)
24/7/2014
RM5.04
ACCUMULATE
RM5.50
RM4.89
-3.0%
PDZ (6254)
25/7/2014
RM0.16
Trading BUY
RM0.20
RM0.175
+9.3%
PETDAG (5681)
25/7/2014
RM19.22
ACCUMULATE
RM22.00
RM18.60
-3.3%
TROP (5401)
30/7/2014
RM1.44
ACCUMULATE
RM1.94
RM1.43
-0.7%
MHB (5186)
30/7/2014
RM3.58
ACCUMULATE
RM4.10
RM3.48
-2.8%
BRAHIMS (9474)
31/7/2014
RM1.77
ACCUMULATE
RM2.00
RM1.76
-0.6%
AIRASIA (5099)
31/7/2014
RM2.44
BUY on weakness
RM2.75
RM2.44
0.0%
 
 
Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral