Thursday, October 16, 2014

Morning Call | 16 October 2014


FLOWS
Thursday, 16 October, 2014
BUY
SKPETRO, TENAGA, IOICORP
SELL
GENTING, MAXIS, FGV
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
PERDANA (7108)
16/10/2014
RM1.66
ACCUMULATE
-
We continue to back Perdana amongst the weaker overall sector as we like the Co for its young fleet of osv’s (4-5yrs) as well as high utilization (~90%) paired with a high growth moving fwd. Recent shift to bid for EOR-related jobs where Petronas & its PSC partners are budgeting to spend RM30b over the nxt 30 yrs will also provide better stability. Co has just taken delivery of its 300 man work barge for either the Shell EOR job (St Joseph’s) where award is expected by 2H14 or Dayang’s HUC job. P/E remains attractive FY15 & FY16 PER of 10.7x & 9.4x pegged with a 63% CAGR for the next 2 yrs. RSI is currently the 2nd lowest point in 30 mnths at only 34%, shr has been consolidating ard the RM1.61–RM1.66 lvl. Accumulate.
 
Price Entry : RM1.62-RM1.66
TP : RM2.40 based on 14x for FY16
(RL)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
BURSA (1818)  
16/10/2014
RM7.95
TRIM
-
Market condition continue to soften following the weaker global market sentiments driving away retail investors, selective institutions & foreign flows as the CI saw a correction that drove the index below the 1800 level. Moving forward, the volume of the market is expected to taper off in the seasonally slower Q3 following selective buying and less trading activity amongst retailers for stocks as well as derivatives. Div of 4.8% at this price is deemed unattractive as currently stock is trading at 21X PE for FY14 and 20x PE for FY15 vs MREIT average of 6.2%. We suggest swapping to names like SUNREIT, BJTOTO for a defensive yield play with less downside risk to its valuation. TRIM.
(RL)
 
 
Calls for SEPT OCT WEEK 1 / WEEK 2 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
YINSON (7293)
9/10/2014
RM2.89
BUY
RM3.30
RM2.49
-13.1%
GLOMAC (5020) 
9/10/2014
RM1.10
TRIM
-
RM1.08
-2.0%
MEDIAC(5090)
10/10/2014
RM0.885
ACCUMULATE
RM0.94
RM0.855
-3.4%
BJTOTO(1562) 
10/10/2014
RM3.59
Defensive BUY
-
RM3.41
-5.1%
OLDTOWN(5201)
13/10/2014
RM1.76
SELL Into Strength
BB - RM1.32
RM1.67
-5.2%
CBIP (7076) 
13/10/2014
RM4.60
SELL into Strength
BB - RM3.73
RM4.49
-2.4%
MSM (5202)
14/10/2014
RM4.92
TAKE PROFIT
-
RM4.90
-0.4%
UMWOG(5243) 
14/10/2014
RM3.10
ACCUMULATE
RM3.60
RM3.23
+4.1%
UOADEV(5200)
15/10/2014
RM2.10
TRIM
-
RM2.10
0.0
PMETAL (8869) 
15/10/2014
RM5.05
ACCUMULATE
RM5.90
RM5.00
-1.0%
 
 
Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral