Monday, November 10, 2014

Market Roundup | 6 November 2014

 
FBMKLCI   1831.98   -7.31pts   (-0.40%)     Volume  2.873b   Value 2.520b
 
1) The KLCI continue to erase last week's gain despite the stronger US market which rallied after the Republican won control of the Senate and improving jobs numbers. In the regional market, bourses were mixed despite the rebound in oil prices today as the NIKKEI -0.86% and HSI -0.20% both closed marginally lower while SHCOMP +0.27% closed just slightly higher after the Chinese Government approved of more investment spending to bolster growth. In the local scene, TRADING & SERVICES -0.56% index lost the most grounds today weighed by TENAGA after the tariff hike was delayed, other losers amongst the sector was AXIATA -1.13%, GENTING -0.72%, PETDAG -1.10%. Market breadth was negative today as the losers outpaced gainers by 436 : 364. Futures closed at 1835.5 (3.5points premium)
 
2) Heavyweights : TENAGA -3.26% RM13.02, AXIATA -1.13% RM6.99, BAT -3.47% RM65.50, CIMB -0.93% RM6.35, GENTING -0.72% RM9.60, PBBANK +0.43% RM18.34, SIME +0.41% RM9.72, GENM +0.71% RM4.21.
 
3) DBT : MEGB 30mil @ RM 0.60 (7.319% PUC), IDMENSN 5mil @ RM0.103, YSPSAH 3.4mil @ RM1.47 (2.55% PUC)
 
4) Situational:-
 
MITRA  -1.98% RM0.99 - Mitrajaya Holdings Bhd has won a RM401.9m construction job from Sunrise Pioneer Sdn Bhd, a member of UEM Sunrise Group. The group said the award, bagged by its unit Pembinaan Mitrajaya Sdn Bhd is for the proposed execution and completion of two blocks of a condominium (MK22) at Mont Kiara, Kuala Lumpur. It said the contract is expected to be completed by Aug 2, 2017 and to contribute positively to the group's earnings.
 
5) PCHEM
 
9 Mths  Tover -10% RM10,696m  Net -27% RM1,964m  EPS 25 sen
 
                     21% below cons(f) RM3,323m
 
Against the corresponding period, the Group recorded lower plant utilisation by 5% at 77% on the back of higher level of gas supply limitations and statutory turnaround activities. Lower methane gas availability from upstream supplier affected the Group’s methanol production, particularly in the first and third quarter of the period. Statutory turnarounds were also more intensive in the period with activities at the Group’s smaller cracker and related downstream facility, MTBE plant, Bintulu urea plant and smaller methanol facility, as well as planned maintenance at the aromatics plant. The corresponding period saw statutory turnaround activities at the PDH plant as well as at the main cracker and related downstream facilities. Consequently, production and sales volumes were lower.
 
Average realised prices for the period was slightly lower with mixed movements amongst the products. Polymer and methanol prices strengthened whilst ethylene glycols, aromatics and fertiliser prices softened.
 
As a result of lower volumes and prices, Group revenue declined by 10% or RM1.2 billion at RM10.7 billion. Subsequently, PAT for the period decreased by 28% or RM851 million at RM2.2 billion mainly due to narrower spreads particularly for ethylene glycols, derivatives and aromatics and lower volumes of higher-margin ethane based products. EBITDA also decreased by 24% or RM1,062 million to RM3,302 million.
 
Management expect Q4 to improve following completion of turnaround & maintenance activities and feedstock reliability to improve in 1Q2016 when sources of supply from another new field is expected to be available via a new pipeline.
 
Trading at prospective PER of 13.3x, PChem is fairly priced. The current market weakness is an opportunity to position into the stock for the seasonally attractive year end/January window.
 
6) Market: likely to continue to correct/consolidate after its strong gains in the 2nd half of October.