Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Morning Call | 24 December 2014



BENALEC RM0.59 - The share price has fallen c30% over the last 2 months. This translates to attractive multiples of 8.9x & 7.7x for FY6/15 & 16 ( vs mid cap construction industry PER average of 10-13x). The group recently disposed off 9 pieces of land in Malacca amounting to 58.6 acres for cash consideration of RM107m. The sale will help provide earnings visibility for at least the next 2 years. Group still has about 341 acres of land in Malacca and Pulau Indah which are held for sale, which could be worth cRM595m. Benalec’s near term earnings visibility has improved, but key re-rating catalyst remains it’s Johor project and the signing of the SPA with 1MY Strategic Terminal Oil for 1000 acres of land in Tanjung Piai. A detailed EIA has been submitted to the Dept of Environment. MACD has just cut up with RSI @ 35 - Trading Buy ( TP RM0.78 based on 10x FY16). (AK) 


MAYBULK RM1.14 - Following the poor Q3 results, the share price has eased c20% . Group is now trading at P/Bk of 0.63x ( vs 4 year historical average of 1.3x), translating to a PER of 16x for FY12/15. At current levels, we reckon most of the negatives have been reflected in the price. Earnings risks such as lower anticipated dry bulk charter rates and lower contribution from its 20% SGX-listed associate, POSH Group, have been more than reflected in price. Ahead, the weaker Ringgit against the US Dollar and lower bunker fuel prices could lend support to Maybulk’s earnings. The Seaborne Chinese iron ore imports are projected to rise, mainly driven by strong expansion of Australian iron ore production capacity, will also auger well for demand of Maybulk’s vessels. POSH’s headwind in it’s Mexican JV due to non payment by clients, is also being managed. Technically, MACD has just cut upwards with RSI @ 38 - Opportunity to accumulate. (AK)