Monday, February 9, 2015

Market Roundup | 6 February 2015


FBMKLCI   1813.25pts    +10.04pts (+0.56%)      Volume 1.924b   Value 2.148b
 
1) The KLCI closed higher before the weekend following the strong performance by the U.S market overnight after the nation released a positive set of jobs data as well as the firmer oil prices overnight boosted energy names. In the regional market, bourses were mixed as the SHCOMP -1.93% and HSI -0.35% closed lower after an official from the PBOC said that the latest Reserve ratio cut was not the start of a strong stimulus, NIKKEI closed +0.55% higher. In the local scene, CONSUMER +0.69% index picked up during the last hour of trade boosted by BAT +1.47%, GAB +6.39%, CARLSBG +3.68%. Market breadth was positive today with gainers beating losers by 512 : 291. Futures closed at 1804.5 (9pts discount)
 
 
2) Heavyweights : PBBANK +1.84% RM18.78, TENAGA +1.92% RM14.82, CIMB +1.04% RM5.80, ASTRO +5.36% RM3.14, PETDAG +4.54% RM18.88, SKPETRO +1.44% RM2.81, IOICORP +0.84% RM4.79, MAXIS -1.13% RM6.99.
 
 
3) DBT: RPB 3.7mil @ RM0.38, HWANG 1.5mil @ RM1.95, UZMA 1.121mil @ RM2.20 (3.7% Premium)
 
 
4) Situational:-
 
MEGB + 1.61% RM0.63 - Masterskill Education Group Bhd's (MEGB) is disposing of its property assets here and in Masai, Johor to a private company controlled by outgoing major shareholder Siva Kumar M. Jeyapalan for RM79.7m. Simultaneously, MMSB had also entered into an agreement with the private company - Brilland Property Sdn Bhd - for the lease of one of the properties in Johor for 10 years. MEGB is expected to make a one-off gain on disposal estimated to be about RM4.5m for the group, based on the unaudited net book value (NBV) of the properties of RM75.2m as at Dec 31, 2014 and the disposal price of RM79.7m. MEGB's gearing ratio will also drop to 0.06 times from 0.18 times currently.
 
 
5) MISC : FY12/14 Rev+4% RM9.3b  Net+5% RM2.2b  EPS 49.4s Div 10s
 
           Results 8% ahead of cons RM1.93b
 
For 12 months yoy, higher revenue was attributable to improved freight rates in petroleum business, commencement of finance lease of FPSO Cendor and higher earning days in LNG business. However, the chemical business recorded lower revenue from a smaller fleet of operating vessels while different phases of project construction caused a decline in heavy engineering revenue. Group operating profit +19%, PBT +8% mainly from improved freight rates in petroleum business, commence of finance lease of FPSO Cendor & lower operating costs. Segmental, revenue from Energy Related Shipping (ERS) was +1.5% mainly from improved freight rates while operating profit was +40%. Revenue from the Other Energy Business (OEB) was +9% but recorded lower operating profit by 17% due to lower revenue and additional cost incurred for certain projects in heavy engineering in the current year. Qoq, revenue was +5%, while PBT +101% due to gains on disposal of assets through finance lease & higher share of profit of JVs & associates - Ahead, group performance will continue to be underpinned by secured recurring income from long term contracts in the LNG shipping business. However it will be challenging in the O&G service segment, given the reduction in capex & opex by major oil companies in a low oil price environment. Although the petroleum tanker segment might benefit from the current low crude oil price environment, muted earnings is expected from the division in FY15 as rates remain below breakeven level (USD20,000- 22,000/day). Chemical tanker segment's recovery is expected to be flattish. With 5 Puteri-class LNG vessels slated to go out of charter in the next 3 years and significantly higher vessel deliveries expected in the coming years, we expect the LNG earnings to be softer as older vessels look to secure new LNG contracts with potentially lower rates than before; Trim into strength.
 
                                                                                                                                                                BARAKAH : announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, PBJV Group Sdn Bhd has received a Letter of Award from PETRONAS Carigali Sdn Bhd (PCSB) for the provision of engineering, procurement, fabrication, installation, commissioning and maintenance works of pig trap system in Peninsular Malaysia, Sabah and Sarawak. Award is for the duration from 23 January 2015 to 22 January 2018, with extension option of one year. The pig trap system is essentially a facility to launch and receive pipe inspection gauges ("PIG"), which are used to run through internal section of pipelines from one end to the other end for inspection and maintenance of pipelines. The total value of the Contract will depend on the actual work orders to be issued by PCSB during the Contract period ; +ve, contract expected to contribute positively towards the earnings and net assets per share of Barakah Group. Orderbook remains strong at RM2.0b which will span till 2018, with a bid-book of RM2.0b. Management guided that 85% of its bid-book is predominantly overseas jobs in Saudi Arabia, Vietnam and Indonesia. On the domestic front, management remains upbeat on securing more onshore pipeline installation jobs, especially in Pengerang. Group is expecting OB replenishment of RM400-500m worth of work orders in 2015 - Accumulate.
 
 
6) Market : We expect trading to remain cautious, as the market may face some selling pressure ahead due to the uncertain economic outlook. However, downside may be limited, supported by the stabilization of crude price and strengthening of the Ringgit.