Friday, May 22, 2015

Market Roundup | 20 May 2015


FBMKLCI   1810.11   +0.39pts (+0.02%)      Volume 1.921b   Value RM1.941b

 

1) The KLCI closed flat inline with the mixed US market as investors await for the April FOMC minutes and Yellen's speech later this week for more hints of the next rate hike. In the regional scene, bourses were mostly mixed as HSI -0.39% fell on weakness in Chinese oil majorsl, NIKKEI +0.85% and SHCOMP +0.65% gained marginally while the ASX -0.09% closed flat. In the local scene, TECHNOLOGY +0.65% index gained the most grounds boosted by UNISEM +2.34%, MPI +2.35%, VITROX +2.45% attributed to the weaker Ringgit. Market breadth was negative with gainers edging losers by 413 : 314. Futures closed at 1808 (2pts discount).

 

2) Heavyweights : TM +2.56% RM7.60, KLK +1.54% RM22.40, MAYBANK +0.32% RM9.37, PCHEM -1.27% RM6.21, SKPETRO -2.21% RM2.65, DIGI -0.83% RM5.95, GENTING -0.78% RM8.88, AXIATA -0.44% RM6.72.

 

3) DBT: SKPRES +1.00% RM1.01, TMS 5.4mil @ RM0.065, YHNPROP 1.798mil  @ RM2.00

 

4) Situational:-

PMETAL  -2.43% RM2.80 - Press Metal Bhd announced that a fire incident had occurred at its smelting plant in Samalaju, Bintulu on 17 May (Sunday). The company told the exchange that it is unable to ascertain the cause of the fire or estimate the full impact and consequences of the incident. Nevertheless, the company said that preliminary findings suggest that the impact on the group's earnings is not expected to be substantial.

 

5) CIMB

1Q Mar 2015    Tover +4% RM3.68bn   Net -46% RM580m    EPS 6.9sen

            43% below cons(f) RM4.04bn

 

1Q15 operating income grew 4.0% Y-o-Y to RM3.680 billion underpinned by a 4.7% expansion in net interest income and a 2.5% growth in non-interest income. Operating expenses were 6.3% higher Y-o-Y on the back of increased personnel expenses, bringing about a 1.0% improvement in the Group's PPOP. However, the Group's PBT declined by 28.3% to RM1.026 billion owing to the higher corporate loan provisions from Indonesia. The Group's regional Consumer Bank PBT increased by 11.2% Y-o-Y in 1Q15 to RM437 million, making up 43% of Group PBT while regional Commercial Banking PBT was 18.1% higher Y-o-Y at RM196 million on the back of solid asset growth and Regional Wholesale Banking PBT declined by 56.6% Y-o-Y to RM293 million attributed to increased Corporate Banking provisions and softer Treasury Markets.

Non-Malaysian PBT contribution to the Group was lower at 20% in 1Q15 compared to 38% in 1Q14, principally due to the 89.4% Y-o-Y decline in Indonesia's PBT to RM45 million from lower CIMB Niaga earnings. The Group's gross impairment ratio rose to 3.2% as at March 2015 from 3.1% in March 2014, with a higher allowance coverage of 84.2% as at March 2015 while Net Interest Margins were lower at 2.65% vs 2.87%.

 

Prospects this year will be along the lines of implementing its new T18 plans and key organization changes, with a mid-term target of achieving an ROE of 15%, CET1 ratio of over 11%, a cost to income ratio of below 50% and a 60% consumer banking income contribution by end-2018.

Sales Take : As there are no strong rerating catalyst at the moment, we prefer Maybank as our main exposure to the banking sector.

 

6) Market - Expectations for the 11MP presented by the PM tomorrow to hopefully add some life into the current range bound market with the construction giants IJM and Gamuda the likely main beneficiaries.