Wednesday, July 1, 2015

Morning Call | 29 June 2015


FLOWS
Monday, 29 June, 2015
BUY
TM
SELL
GENM, ARMADA
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
MYEG (0138)
29/06/2015
RM2.88
TAKE PROFIT
-
MYEG (RM2.88) - its recent outperformance (+13% in 1 week) is an opportunity to take profit into strength especially if the price action is related to half-year closing activities. With the current political tension & uncertainties in the country, MYEG is highly vulnerable to political risk. Its growth drivers are new activities with unproven track records, thereby making analysts' forecasts difficult as can be seen from the continuous downwards revision of their numbers after each quarterly results announcement. The added controversies of their activities further impinged on their accuracy. Yet MYEG trades at FY15 PER of 47x vs 5-yr forward average of 25x. There are also negative divergences in its daily & weekly charts. Take profit   (PT) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CMSB (2852) 
29/06/2015
RM5.23
TAKE PROFIT
-
Weekly charts dating back to 2012 showed a possible conclusion of a 5-wave pattern with multiple negative divergences on its daily & weekly rsi & macd. With the foreign rating agencies scrutinizing M'sia fiscal position, probability has increased on many of the infrastructure projects that CMS is eyeing, may be deferred. In addition, with the Sarawak elections around the corner, any major awards of contracts to CMS may be sensitive & fodder to the opposition's campaign. Hence, the strong growth projected by analysts may not be achievable & the stock will sell off if it fails to meet its consensus no, especially when it is already trading at above-mkt valuations of 20.7x FY15 PER vs 5-yr average forward PER of 11.9x & peers of 11.5x. Take profit     (PT)
 
 
 
Calls for  JUNE WEEK 3 / WEEK 4 2015
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
MBMR (5983)
22/06/2015
RM3.49
TAKE PROFIT
BB - RM2.80
RM3.50
+0.2%
DIGI (6947) 
22/06/2015
RM5.61
ACCUMULATE
RM6.48
RM5.40
-3.7%
KNM (7164)
23/06/2015
RM0.54
BUY
RM0.62
RM0.61
+12.9%
KESM (9334) 
23/06/2015
RM3.83
TRIM
-
RM3.75
-2.1%
OPCOM (0035)
24/06/2015
RM0.81
ACCUMULATE
RM1.10
RM0.80
-1.2%
FAVCO (7229) 
24/06/2015
RM2.82
SELL into STR
BB – RM2.31
RM2.80
-0.7%
ENGTEX (5056)
25/06/2015
RM1.09
BUY
RM1.22
RM1.09
+0.0%
PANTECH (5125) 
25/06/2015
RM0.675
BUY on weakness
RM0.93
RM0.66
-2.2%
PRLEXUS (8966)
26/06/2015
RM2.10
TRIM
RM1.84
RM2.16
+2.9%
MIECO (5001) 
26/06/2015
RM0.675
BUY on weakness
RM0.80
RM0.665
-1.5%
 
 
PERFORMANCE ALERT
STOCK
Initiation dates
Initiation price
Target Price
Action
Returns
SKPETRO (5218)
15/04/2015
RM2.40
RM2.75
Take profit
14.5%
UNISEM (5005)
22/04/2015
RM2.60
BB – RM2.30
Trading buy
-
SKPRES (7155)
08/05/2015
RM0.845
RM1.10
Take profit
19.5%
TOPGLOV (7113)
08/06/2015
RM5.47
-
Trading Sell
-
KNM (7164)
23/06/2015
RM0.54
RM0.62
Trading Sell
13.0%
 
Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral