Monday, October 12, 2015

Morning Call | 12 October 2015


FLOWS
Monday, October 12, 2015
BUY
GAMUDA, SKPETRO
SELL
TENAGA, IOICORP
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
PCHEM (5183)
12/10/2015
RM6.54
                  TRIM
BB - RM5.65
Stock has gained 26% over the past 6 weeks with daily RSI overbought at 71 and trading at upper end of Bollinger band. With a slowdown in region especially China accelerating and low oil prices, we expect the see downward pricing pressure especially its Olefin & Derivatives products translating into weaker profit margins. It’s Labuan methanol shutdown in 3Q to allow for Dalak pipeline connection will only be ready by 1Q’16.  Trades at 17.6x FY16 vs 5-year forward of 13.5x; Trim into strength. (Buyback at RM5.65 on 15.2x FY16 PER)
(SPK)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
POS (4634)
12/10/2015
RM3.79
BUY
RM4.24
Share price has lagged the general market recovery having retreated 26% over past 6 months, which we feel is overdone. Group’s courier segment is expected to drive growth forward projected at >20% driven mainly by the booming e-commerce industry. Margins are expected to improve with no significant workforce additions and from its 5-year strategic plan to become a regional postal and logistics player. Trades at 14.2x FY7 PER vs regional average of 20x and RSI at 39, weekly macd cutting up with hammer candle; Buy with immediate target of RM4.24.
(SPK)
 
 
Calls for  OCT WEEK 1 WEEK 2 2015
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
PETGAS (6033)
05/10/2015
RM22.04
TRIM
RM20.10
RM22.60
+2.5%
MBSB (1171)
05/10/2015
RM1.60
ACCUMULATE
RM1.90
RM1.59
-0.7%
WCT (9679)
06/10/2015
RM1.45
SELL into STR
RM1.33
RM1.50
+3.4%
DRBHICOM(1619)
06/10/2015
RM1.41
SELL
RM1.28
RM1.40
-0.7%
MUHIBBAH (5703)
07/10/2015
RM2.08
BUY
RM2.70
RM2.21
+6.2%
KAREX (5247)
07/10/2015
RM3.24
BUY
RM3.68
RM3.34
+3.0%
COASTAL (5071)
08/10/2015
RM2.07
ACCUMULATE
RM2.46
RM2.16
+4.3%
CBIP (7076)
08/10/2015
RM2.06
Trading BUY
RM2.34
RM2.03
-1.5%
SIME (4197)
09/10/2015
RM8.76
                  TRIM
RM7.88
RM8.75
-0.2%
AFG (2488)
09/10/2015
RM3.64
ACCUMULATE
RM3.92
RM3.50
-3.9%

 

 

PERFORMANCE ALERT
STOCK
Initiation dates
Initiation price
Target Price
Action
Returns
AIRPORT (5014)
03/09/2015
RM4.41
RM5.58
Take Profit
+25.6%
UZMA (7250)
04/09/2015
RM1.73
RM2.00
Take Profit
+15.6%
UMWOG (5243)
28/09/2015
RM1.30
RM1.05
Buy Back
-

 

Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral