Monday, November 30, 2015

Morning Call | 26 November 2015


FLOWS
Thursday, 26 November, 2015
BUY
PCHEM, CIMB, TENAGA
SELL
DIGI, FGV, IOIPG
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
DSONIC (5216)
26/11/2015
RM1.66
TRIM
-
The share price has added more than 30% over the past 2 months. This was largely on the back of group’s healthy OB of 5.5m/4.5m/4.3m copies of its MyKad/MyKad consumables/passport photo pages (as at June 2015), potential extension on existing Mykad & passport contracts, as well as possible success on its 3 proposals to the Home Affairs Ministry in relation to Malaysian passports and ICT solutions. We believe the positives have been largely reflected, with stock now trading at 28x & 21x for FY03/16 & 17 respectively. Earnings growth over the next 2 years are only projected at c13%pa. Delay in contract awards & earnings concentration on its MyKad & Passport contracts (c85% of earnings) are concerns going forward.  RSI at 73 – Trim into current strength.
(AK)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CBIP (7076)
26/11/2015
RM1.93
ACCUMULATE
RM2.29
The recent consolidation in share price has brought valuation down to an attractive 10.5x FY16. The group’s recognition of progress billings is expected to pick up in 4Q15. Unbilled sales stood at RM539m as at end June 2015 (vs RM480 at March 2015). YTD, group has secured RM250m palm oil mill contracts, in line with expectation of RM350-400m for FY2015, which should provide good earnings visibility for 2016. PBT margins should be underpinned by the low cost of steel (-22% 9 mths yoy) & which accounts for c80% of total production cost. The new tax pioneer status, in respect of the zero effluent palm oil mill, is expected to be approved by MIDA soon. The strong USD is positive as 40% of the OB is denominated in USD. With MACD on the verge of cutting upwards & improved optimism on the plantation sector  – Accumulate ( TM RM2.29, on 12.5x FY16).
(AK)
 
 
Calls for  NOV WEEK 3 WEEK 4 2015
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
DOLPHIN (5265)
18/11/2015
RM0.785
ACCUMULATE
-
RM0.775
-1.3%
MUHIBBAH (5703)
19/11/2015
RM2.18
ACCUMULATE
RM2.70
RM2.20
+0.9%
JAKS (4723)
20/11/2015
RM1.16
BUY
RM
RM1.16
0.0%
GAMUDA (5398)
20/11/2015
RM4.44
ACCUMULATE
RM5.00
RM4.56
+2.7%
CMSB (2852)
23/11/2015
RM5.02
BUY
RM5.70
RM5.17
+2.9%
EVERGRN (5101)
23/11/2015
RM2.14
BUY
RM2.50
RM2.13
-0.5%
SIME (4197)
24/11/2015
RM8.00
BUY
RM9.00
RM8.07
+0.8%
MHB (5186)
24/11/2015
RM1.07
ACCUMULATE
RM1.42
RM1.10
+2.8%
YTL (4677)
25/11/2015
RM1.50
ACCUMULATE
RM1.75
RM1.54
+2.6%
IKHMAS (5268)
25/11/2015
RM0.705
TRADING BUY
RM0.88
RM0.695
-1.5%

 

 

Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral