Showing posts with label Gamuda. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Gamuda. Show all posts

Monday, April 22, 2013

News Bits | 22 April 2013


IDEAS OF THE DAY (SEE SEPARATE REPORTS FOR DETAILS)
 
*        Sector Update: Media
*        Quick Bites: GAMUDA, MISC, WCT, UZMA
*        On Our Portfolio: All Eyes on the Election Campaign
*        On Our Technical Watch: Weekly Technical
 
 
 
NEWS HIGHLIGHTS
 
*        Petronas Dagangan gets sukuk approval
*        CIMB Thai Q1 net profit up 11.4%
*        Up to EPF to decide RHBCap privatisation, says group MD
*        Kamdar to sell land, building for RM26.0m
*        Datasonic awarded RM15.0m KDN service contract
*        Johan in talks to sell charge and credit card ops
 
FOREIGN NEWS HIGHLIGHTS
 
*        Sprint/SoftBank asks FCC to go ahead with deal review
*        Nestle's Nespresso Growth Hit by Swiss Contender Migros
 
 
ECONOMIC NEWS HIGHLIGHTS (MACRO BITS)
 
Global
 
*        IMF To Boost Oversight Of Bank Stimulus
 
Asia Pacific
 
*        G-20 Eyes Stimulus Fallout Even As Japan Bond Buying Praised
*        Japan Invited To Join TPP Trade Talks
*        PBOC's Zhou Says Slower Growth Needed For Restructuring
*        Australia Sees Wider Deficit As High Currency Hits Revenue
 
North America
 
*        Dealers Say No End To QE In 2013 As Hatzius Sees 2016 Rate Rise
*        Carney Says Next Canada Rate Move Needs Above 2% Growth
 
Europe
 
*        Greeks Have Lost A Third Of Their Disposable Income
 
Currencies
 
*        Dollar Gains Vs. Yen After G-20 Statement
 
Commodities
 
*        Oil Rebound After Week's Big Sell-Off
*        Gold Posts 5% Weekly Loss, Outlook Seen Volatile
 

Friday, November 2, 2012

News Bits | 02 Nov 2012


Highlights of the day
§  SapuraKencana Petroleum (Quick Bits): Won two contracts worth RM835m (Maintain HOLD, TP: RM2.46) [download report]
In an announcement to Bursa Malaysia, SapuraKencana Petroleum Berhad has won two contracts worth RM835m. This brings YTD contract wins to an estimated RM3.8-4.0bn. We have factored these contract wins into our orderbook assumption. Based on an average pretax profit margin of 12%, the total pretax profit from the contracts is RM100m over the contract period of three years or averaging RM33m pa which is 4% of our FY13 pretax profit. Maintain Hold with a target price of RM2.46 based on 20x CY13 EPS of 12.3 sen.
 
Other reports
§  Newz Bits [download report]
 
Other Malaysian news
§  DRB-Hicom: Streamlining of businesses in EON and Proton Edar
§  Gamuda:  Chief ups stake, stock at 7-month high
§  Berjaya Land: Plans RM9.92bn casino and mall on Jeju Island
§  Brahim’s Holdings: Targets the Middle East
§  Premier Naflin: Target for reverse takeover
§  Aviation:  Malindo Air brings forward operations date to mid-March
§  O&G: Petronas hires lobbyists
§  Telco: U-Mobile not interested in P1
 
Global news
§  US: Initial jobless claims fall by 9,000 to 363,000
§  US: Companies in sustain productivity to cut labor costs
§  US: ADP says companies add most workers in eight months
§  US: Factories to shoppers weathers world slowdown
§  US: Fed’s Rosengren backs QE3 until unemployment falls to 7.25%
§  Europe: IMF says measures to cut Greek debt must be meaningful
§  China: Manufacturing gains signal 4Q rebound
 
 
Our on-line trading portal at www.ecmmoney.com

Monday, February 13, 2012

Newz Bits 130212

Highlights of the day
§         Gamuda (Company Update): PDP done deal, what next? (SELL; TP: RM3.51) [download report]
Gamuda-MMC JV has formalised its PDP agreement for the Klang Valley MRT - Sungai BulohKajang line project with the Government of Malaysia via MRT Co, entitling it to a 6% fee of the aggregate value of all 90 works contracts to be awarded, provided that the PDP delivers the project as a fully functional railway system within the stipulated target cost and completion deadline. However, our analysis shows that factoring in all the positive newsflow on Gamuda-MMC being the frontrunner for the c.RM8bn tunneling portion and Gamuda possibly clinching a JV role in the c.RM7-8bn Southern double tracking project raises our sum-of-parts RNAV of RM2.94 previously  to only RM3.51, which poses 8.8% downside from the current price. Maintain SELL.

§         Axiata (Company Update): Data to drive earnings (Downgrade from BUY to HOLD TP: RM5.20) [download report]
We came away from a visit to Axiata feeling optimistic about the group’s long term prospects in view of the robust data growth, particularly in its subsidiaries Celcom and XL Axiata (XL). We view the revocation of Idea’s 13 licences to marginally impact Axiata at this juncture. However, we are reducing our EPS forecasts by 14% and our target price from RM5.76 to RM5.20, due to lower EBITDA margin assumptions in both Celcom and XL and applying a higher WACC on XL. Downgrade from BUY to HOLD.

Other reports
§         Plantation (Sector Update): Stocks levels continue to disappoint (Maintain NEUTRAL) [download report]
§         Newz Bits [download report]

Other Malaysian news
§         IOI: Mulls re-listing of property arm
§         SP Setia: SC decision of joint offerors’ revised offer still pending
§         MAS: Appoints AirAsia’s Rozman Omas as CFO
§         Alam Maritim: Hopeful to return to black
§         London Biscuits: To raise RM29.3m from new share placement
§         Banking: Bank Islam eyes stake in Indonesian bank
§         Construction: Prasarana to pick Dang Wangi project partner
§         Construction: MRT Corp says still over 80 job packages up for tender
§         Property: Slower high-end property sector
§         Technology: Sluggish demand for PCB seen in Q1

Global news
§         US: Budget gap narrowed to US$27.4bn in January 2012
§         US: Consumer sentiment falls more than forecast
§         Europe: Greek parliament passes austerity bill as rioters burn buildings
§         China: Exports, imports slump more than forecast, new loans slows
§         China: January lending grew less than estimated amid holiday
§         India: Factory output misses estimate amid economic slowdown

Our on-line trading portal at www.ecmmoney.com

Friday, February 10, 2012

Market Roundup 100212

FBM30 1561.66, -3.66 points (-0.23%), Volume 3,355mil, Value 2,812mil

1) KLCI finally clsd in the red as investors locked in profits ahead of wkend as European finance ministers held back its approval of rescue package for debt-laden Greece until it passes its latest austerity package into law and identify EUR325mil in further spending cuts. Selling pressure on select heavyweights: TENAGA-3%, GENTING, IJM -1.5%, IOI -2%, snapping its 5 days of consecutive gains. Rotational plays saw buying interest in steel sector led by ANNJOO+11.5%, LIONIND+9%, KINSTEEL+5% and o&g sector: Kencana +2%, Alam +4%, Perdana +1% as market breadth managed to stay positive with gainers leading losers 566:371. Futures closed 1553 (7.6 points discount)

2) Heavyweights: TENAGA-3.02% RM6.11, IOICORP-2.32% RM5.47, GENTING-1.53% RM10.30, YTL-2% RM1.48, MAYBANK+0.59% RM8.52, GENM+1.3% RM3.90, PBBANK+0.3% RM14.00, AXIATA+0.4% RM4.99

3) DBT: EXTOL 10.8mil @ RM0.19 (10.3% PUC, 24% discount), ASIABIO 9mil @ RM0.065 (2.3% PUC), OLDTOWN 3mil @ RM1.25 (3.8% PUC)

4) Situationals:

MAHJAYA+13.7% RM0.83: Company received a conditional takeover offer from its major shareholders to acquire the remaining 25.57% shares not own at 85sen each

XOX+3.85% RM0.27: Share price was firmer after Mara Inc Sdn Bhd raised its shareholding to 19mil shares or 6.29% after recent acquisitions from open mkt

5) Gamuda/MMC-announced the salient terms of PDP agreement for Sg Buloh-Kajang MRT proj. It states PDP's responsibilities:

The PDP shall be responsible for delivering to the Owner the Project as a fully functional and operating railway system within the agreed target cost and completion date.

The PDP is responsible for the design of the Railway in accordance with the Owner's Requirements and the approved Railway The main responsibilities of the Owner under the PDP Agreement are:

(a) to obtain the necessary approval for the Railway Scheme

(b) to obtain the EIA approval in respect of this Project;

(c) to deliver site possession to the PDP (in order for the PDP to deliver the same to the contractors) in accordance with the agreed schedule in the PDP Agreement; and

(d) to make payments for the works done by the contractors (in order for the PDP to make onwards payment to the contractors) in accordance with the terms of the PDP Agreement.

- PDP is not allowed to participate in any of the tender for the works comprised in the Project except for the underground works package.

Target Cost and Completion Date

The agreed target costs is the aggregate of all the awarded works packages, the amount of contingency allowed and the amount of reimbursables incurred by the PDP in performing its services.

The allowed contingency is agreed at 15% of the aggregate of the awarded works packages. Both the Owner and the PDP are allowed to utilize the contingency.

The reimbursables include the PDP's overheads, fees for engineering consultancy, quantity surveyors and system integration works and fees for site investigations and topographical survey. The amount of the reimbursables is fixed at RM2.85 Billion.

The target completion date for the entire Project is 31 July 2017.

The PDP shall be paid a fee which is equivalent to 6% ("Fee") of the aggregate of all the awarded works contracts (excluding the value of the underground works package if the PDP wins the Swiss Challenge).

If the Project exceeds the agreed target cost, the PDP shall be liable for the cost over-run by the reduction of the Fee based on an agreed formula.

Any liabilities arising from claims brought by or disputes with Contractors shall be fully borne by the PDP after the contingency has been exceeded and the PDP has no recourse to the Owner in respect of such excess.

In the event that the PDP fails to complete the Project by the agreed completion date, the PDP is liable to pay to the Owner agreed liquidated damages of RM500,000.00 per day.

Comments: Gamuda/MMC is the only pure local party to submit a bid for Phase 1 tunnel works (RM7-8bn). Four other contenders incl: Japan's Taisei, China's Sinohydro, China Railway and Hyundai-Gadang have been pre-qualified to tender (on a Swiss Challenge basis). Award of the project should take place by April 2012. Believe Gamuda-MMC has a huge competitive advantage given its superior knowledge of soil conditions and price preference granted to local bidders of up to 7.5%.

6) Mkt - all eyes this wkend on Greek Parliament's attempt to vote through austerity measures to enable them to obtain necessary rescue funds. Barring anything -ve, uptrend of mkt intact with stks at buy lvls: TNB, Genting, MRCB, TImecom, UEMLand.

Tuesday, January 10, 2012

Market Roundup 100112

FBM30 1521.99, +0.26 points (+0.02%), Volume 1,858mil, Value 1,872mil

1) KLCI ended mixed trading in a 5 points range as market was sluggish despite the positive region which rose on positive US data and speculations slowing China export data could encourage monetary easing policies. Malaysia's industrial production growth was also lower than estimates as manufacturing growth slows. Construction+1.2% outperformed in anticipation of jobs being awarded from the ETP program. Market breadth was positive with advancers outpacing decliners 416:330. Futures closed 1527 (5 points premium).

2) Heavyweights: DIGI+1.04% RM3.90, PETGAS+1.59% RM15.34, KLK+1.06% RM24.84, TM+1.03% RM4.91, PCHEM+0.47% RM6.36, GENTING-2.15% RM10.90, GENM-0.77% RM3.88, MHB-1.91% RM5.65

3) DBT: SCOMI 16.3mil @ RM0.15 (46% discount), BJCORP 12mil @ RM0.94 (10.5% discount),

4) Situationals:

TAKASO+2.08% RM0.245: TAKASO topped volume today with share price reaching a high of RM0.28 after news reported that company will be acquiring Kayumas Plantation PNG Ltd which has a timber license and concession in a bid to diversify its business. The company holds the rights to a net loggable area of 40,000ha of timber possibly worth up to RM500mil with length of extraction up to 9 years.

MBSB+4.12% RM2.02: Bank Negara has granted permission for MBSB to participate in its Central Credit Reference Information System (CCRIS) effective this month. This information is collected by the central bank's credit bureau from participating lending institutions to assit them in making informed decisions on credit applicants.

GAMUDA+3.52% RM3.53: Gamuda in response to news reports confirmed they have been invited by China Railway Construction corp to be its local partner in a group bidding for the Gemas-Johor Bahru railway project that is worth RM8bil.

5) SAPURACREST
Announced that SapuraAcergy Sdn Bhd has been awarded a contract for a subsea construction project, offshore Vietnam. SASB is a joint venture company equally owned by SapuraCrest Petroleum Berhad and Subsea 7 S.A. The scope of work requires the installation of 28km of 12" diameter pipeline, a 28km umbilical, Pipeline End Terminations and Subsea Isolation Valve , Structures, spools and pre-commissioning.

The value of the Contract awarded is approximately USD100 million, with the offshore work expected to be performed in mid 2012.

+ve the merger exercise with Kencana expected to be finalized by the 1Q this year will be the major re rating catalyst for both companies.

6) Market - Current bullish trend to continue with situationals and 2nd liners continuing to take center stage in the run up to CNY.

Morning Commentary 100112

Good morning,

1) Jaks: Jaks Resources Bhd’s wholly owned subsidiary Jaks Power Holdings Ltd (JPH) has entered into several agreements to formalize its proposed JV with Meiya Power (HD) Ltd and Island Circle Investment Holdings Ltd to invest in two 600MW coal-fired power plants projects in Vietnam. Meiya Power is an indirect subsidiary of China Guongdong Nuclear Power Holdings while Island Circle is a subsidiary of Island Circle Development (M) SB, whose principal activities are property development. Upon completion of the proposed JV, the effective equity interest of JPH, Meiya Power & Island Circle in JPP (Jaks Pacific Power Ltd – the company licensed to undertake the design, engineering, construction, operation & Maintenance of the two 600MW coal fired power plant) would be 50:40:10. Construction of the plant was expected to begin mid-year; +ve and expected.

2) Gamuda: Media reported that Gamuda has been roped in to be part of a group which is the front runner for the construction of the Gemas-Johor Baru electrified double–track railway line. A source said Gamuda was in a consortium led by China Railways Construction Co (CRCC) and another local party linked to the Johor royal family and that this group is the current front runner for the RM8b project, known as the Gemas-JB electrified double-tracking project (EDTP). Two other China firms are also in the running for the job, namely China Railway Engineering Co & China Communication Construction Co; +ve if true. Should the CRCC group be chosen, Gamuda could redeploy it’s machinery from the on-going Ipoh-Padang Besar EDTP for the southern rail upgrade link. It can save on capital expenditure & the Chinese partner would not have to spend extra for ferrying huge equipments to Malaysia. The RM12.5b Ipoh-Padang Besar EDTP is expected to be completed by the end of this year.

3) Can One/ Kian Joo: Can One Bhd’s major shareholders & friendly parties are considering a privatization or merger exercise with Kian Joo Can Factory Bhd (KJCF), reliable sources said. The move is related to Can One’s acquisition of a 32.9% stake in Kian Joo, which should be completed today, after a lengthy court battle. Can One may be getting the funding from Kuwait Finance House, added the source. However, it isn’t clear how Can One’s major shareholder would raise funds for the privatization exercise. According to sources, Can One, upon getting the KJCF shares, is set to call for an EGM to install it’s own directors. However, it is believed the See family would not give in easily should such a boardroom tussle occur, as family may feel that KJCF shares is worth much more than what it is trading now & they have the resources to buy back a substantial block by utilizing the sale proceeds to be received from Can One.

4) Mkt: situationals & lower liners to continue their outperformance on index-linked stocks.