Thursday, February 28, 2013

Morning Call | 28 Feb 2013


FLOWS
Thursday, 28 February, 2013
BUY
SIME, UEMLAND, YTL
SELL
JCY, MAYBANK, MRCB
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
SCOMI(7158)
28/2/2013
RM0.315
BUY
RM0.37
Scomi(0.315) – a trading buy as technically constructive after its recent pullback from 0.445 to its 61.8% retracement level of 0.30, added to the positive crossover of its macd yesterday. The current entry price is also attractive compared to the initial placement of 119m shares to IJM at 0.33 and the RM110m financing raised through a convertible bond issue to IJM that has an even higher exercise price of 0.365. IJM will hold 25% of Scomi post its exercise of its convertible bonds, hence one can safely assume IJM would have access to the financials  and would have done their due diligence before injecting RM150m into Scomi. Based on the annualized 9 months earnings, Scomi is trading at 7.9x PER which is cheap compared to the other oil & gas mid cap stocks. In addition, Scomi is tipped for a Pan Malaysian  RM2.3bn drilling fluids contract from Petronas and its PSC partners.
  
 
PUNCAK(6807)
28/2/2013
RM1.35
Switch
RM1.60
Puncak(1.35) – we are recommending a pare trade, a switch between 2 water sector stocks, sell Jaks to finance the purchase of Puncak. Both stocks respond to  news in the water sector but with current fundamentals,  Puncak has significantly better upside. With the recent Selangor state government’s offer, Puncak has a potential RNAV of between RM2.40 to RM3.30, depending on the assumptions of net debts & amount of government grant. In the event that Selangor state reverts back to BN, it would even be more positive for Puncak as the water concessions were secured during the BN state government . Currently, Puncak trades at a historical PER of 2x while Jaks trades at 55x.
 
 
Calls for FEB WEEK 3/4
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
SPSETIA(8664)
20/2/2013
RM3.38
Take profit
-
RM3.18
-6.2%
GENTING(3182)
20/2/2013
RM9.64
SELL into Strength
RM9.00 <
RM9.42
-2.3%
DAYA(0091)
22/2/2013
RM0.205
Trading BUY
0.26
RM0.200
-1.2%
DRBHICOM(1619)
22/2/2013
RM2.49
BUY on Weakness
RM2.80
RM2.56
+3.0%
AMFIRST(5120)
25/2/2013
RM1.06
Defensive BUY
RM1.10
RM1.07
+1.0%
AZRB(7078)
25/2/2013
RM0.69
TRIM
-           
RM0.69
0.00%
AMBANK(1015)
26/2/2013
RM6.29
ACCUMULATE
RM6.50
RM6.26
-0.4%
TM(4863)
26/2/2013
RM5.32
ACCUMULATE
RM6.00
RM5.32
+0.0%
UZMA(7250)
27/2/2013
RM1.65
Trading BUY
RM2.00
RM1.61
-2.6%
BSTEAD(2771)
27/2/2013
RM4.75
ACCUMULATE
RM5.20
RM4.78
+0.7%