Monday, August 27, 2012

Morning call | 27 August 2012

 
Morning Call                                                                    27 AUGUST 2012
 
FLOWS:
 
BUYS: UEMLAnd, MRCB, Armada
 
SELLS: GenM, Genting, Maxis, Sime
 
Technical Stock Alert:
 
GenP (RM9.26) - stock has fallen 8% fr its peak of RM10.20 and is sitting on the lower range of the Bollinger band. Strong support at 200D SMA of RM9 with MACD flattening out after cutting down in mid July following falling CPO average. Believe downside risk is limited as its a pure upstream player with 85% of their earnings correlated to CPO price movement which has been recovering since touching low of RM2800/ton to above RM3k now. CPO has bottomed and is expected to edge higher on the back of weather woes, discount btwn soy bean and CPO price and increased demand from festivities going fwd. Its improving contribution from its Kalimantan ops will continue to drive their FFB production fwd. Trading at fwd PER of 16x-BUY.      
(LJL/LJN)
 
Airport (RM5.46) - Price is now trading at the low end of it defined range for the year between RM5.00-RM6.00 with MACD chart showing signs of bottoming out and has started to cut upwards. Stock is now trading below the last private placement price of 110m @ RM5.60. We expect the stock to steadily move higher as the main re rating catalyst draws nearer with the commencement of KLIA 2 in April 2013, targeted to handle 45m passengers/annum. Passenger vol grew 2.7% in June with intl passengers growing 4% to 2.34m in KLIA mainly due to 12.4% rise in foreign airline movements and 8.7% growth in AirAsia movements. Jan-June +4.2%(yoy) to 32.56m passengers. Dividend yield remains attractive at 4.12%. Accumulate.
(TYK/LJN)