Monday, July 29, 2013

Morning Call | 29 July 2013


FLOWS
Monday, 29 July, 2013
BUY
GENM, IHH,MAYBANK
SELL
TENAGA, THHEAVY, UEMS
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
MAHSING (8583)
29/7/2013
RM2.51
ACCUMULATE
RM3.10
The share price has consolidated around the RM2.40 level for the past month after it’s 1 for 5 bonus issue. The outlook for the property sector still looks optimistic, given Malaysia’s relatively young population & c65% home ownership ratio. Mah Sing’s strong earnings growth, new sales & land-banking efforts could provide catalysts going forward. Group achieved sales of RM750m in Q1, in line with the projected RM3b for FY2013. Land-banking efforts are on-going (acquisition of 4 parcels of land this year worth RM708m), with capacity to add another RM500-700m comfortably this year. Group has exposure in all major property markets in Malaysia- Klang Valley, Johor, Penang & Sabah. Stock liquidity has also improved post it’s 1 for 3 rights & 1 for 5 bonus issue ( group has perhaps the highest foreign shareholding amongst property players in Malaysia). Net gearing is manageable, expected c0.4x by year end, after payment for the land-banks. Trading at PER 11.3x for FY13 & 21% disc to RNAV, stock appears attractive given the catalysts above - Accumulate ( TP RM3.10, at RNAV)
(AK)
 

QL(7084)
29/7/2013
RM3.60
Trading SELL
RM3.30
Share price has moved up c15% over the last month, on the back of expected strong Revenue & EPS CAGR over the next 2 years. This is fueled by capacity expansion for its marine product manufacturing (MPM) & integrated livestock farming (ILF) divisions & margin expansion from softer raw material costs, increased economies of scale & higher ASP. Growth is also expected from its expansion into egg production in Indonesia & Vietnam. However, with the share price ascend, QL’s now trading at PER of 18.2x FY03/14, versus the average consumer sector PE of 23x CY14. The discount which is deem warranted given it’s lower dividend yields & smaller market capitalization, has narrowed . Although we remain positive on QL given it’s track record on earnings & capacity expansion execution, we see it fully valued for now, RSI at 72 ; Trading Sell ( Buyback at RM3.30, PER FY14 16.8x)
(AK)
 

Calls for JULY week 3 / week 4
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
THHEAVY(7206)
22/7/2013
RM0.945
Trading SELL
RM0.85
RM0.905
-4.3%
SAM(9822)
22/7/2013
RM2.45
BUY on weakness
RM3.00
RM2.50
+2.0%
BRAHIMS (9474)
23/7/2013
RM1.00
Trading BUY
RM1.20
RM1.21
+21.0%
WTK(4243)
23/7/2013
RM1.24
BUY on weakness
RM1.55
RM1.22
-1.7%
PUNCAK (6807)
24/7/2013
RM2.48
BUY on weakness
RM3.50
RM2.48
+0.0%
DRBHCOM (1619)
24/7/2013
RM2.70
BUY
RM3.30
RM2.68
-0.8%
AMBANK (1015)
25/7/2013
RM8.02
SELL into strength
RM7.40
RM8.00
-0.5%
COASTAL (5071)
25/7/2013
RM2.53
BUY
RM3.36
RM2.84
+12.2%
GENP(2291)
26/7/2013
RM10.00
TAKE PROFIT
-
RM9.99
0.0%
UZMA(7250)
26/7/2013
RM4.00
TAKE PROFIT
-
RM4.01
+0.25%

 

We’ve added an extra feature (first column from right) to indicate our recommendation for our call.

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY