Monday, July 8, 2013

Morning Call | 5 July 2013


FLOWS
Friday, 5 July, 2013
BUY
GENTING, TM, HUAYANG
SELL
TENAGA, SIME, MAGNUM
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
ILB (5614)
5/7/2013
RM1.44
BUY
RM1.80
Recently ILB announced the sales of its Shenzhen and Henan subsidiaries for Rm519m, realising a gain on disposal of RM178m and crystallizing the property revaluation reserves of RM70m. After the completion of these sales, on an adjusted proforma y/e 31/12/2012 balance sheet basis, ILB has a net cash of RM512m or equivalent to a cash per share of RM3.10 (Ex minority interest of RM2.40/share). ILB has also announced that there is a possibility that the company may be classified as a “cash company” by Bursa pursuant to the listing rules post the disposal of the subsidiaries, where 70% of its assets consists of cash or cash equivalent on a consolidated basis. To prevent suspension or even delisting of the company, ILB has announced that it is willing to take appropriate actions to reduce this risk. Hence, ILB, with its net cash per share of RM3.10, is likely to declare a distribution of a meaningful special dividend to its shareholders. This will be an attractive catalyst for the stock. Technically, ILB also has an attractive chart pattern of consecutive higher highs & higher lows which signifies strength and accumulation by strong hands. Buy
(PT)
 
SCOMIES(7045)
5/7/2013
RM0.78
Take Profit into Strength
RM0.66
Stock has doubled in price since our buy call at Rm0.395 on 28/3/13. Valuations are now stretched with forward PER of 18.6x & 14.2x for the next 2 financial years versus small cap oil & gas counters’ PER  of less than 15x & 12x; and current p/bk of 2.86x versus 5 years average of o.62x. Scomies has also achieved analysts’ 12 month target price of RM0.81. The current rally is the 5th leg of its 3-year chart pattern and this is normally a good level to take profit into strength especially when the price spikes sharply. In addition, its parent company, Scomi (66% stake in the company), has earlier indicated that there may be a possible placement of Scomies’ shares when the price is right. Naturally, the placement will have to be done around similar valuations of other small o&g players, hence assuming a 12x forward PER for FY3/15, there may be supply coming in @ RM0.66. Take profit into strength
(PT)
 
Calls for JUNE Week 4 - JULY week 1
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
UEMS(5148)
28/6/2013
RM3.08
Trading SELL
BUYBACK RM < 2.60
RM2.99
-3.0%
SILKHLD(5078)
28/6/2013
RM0.395
BUY
RM0.50
RM0.385
-2.5%
KIMLUN(5171)
1/7/2013
RM2.06
ACCUMULATE
RM2.61
RM2.04
-1.0%
DAYA(0091)
1/7/2013
RM0.24
Trading BUY
RM0.28
RM0.24
0.0%
GTRONIC (7022)
2/7/2013
RM2.18
Strong BUY
RM2.97
RM2.31
+5.9%
IGB (1597)
2/7/2013
RM2.54
Trading BUY
RM3.00
RM2.49
-2.0%
YTL(4677)
3/7/2013
RM1.64
ACCUMULATE
RM2.00
RM1.63
+0.7%
INTEGRAX (9555)
3/7/2013
RM1.64
BUY
RM2.00
RM1.62
+1.3%
MRCB(1651)
4/7/2013
RM1.53
ACCUMULATE
RM1.80
RM1.57
+2.6%
KPJ(5878)
4/7/2013
RM6.78
SELL
RM6.11
RM6.72
-0.9%