Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Morning Call | 18 September 2013


FLOWS
Wednesday, 18 September, 2013
BUY
AIRASIA, MAYBANK, SKPETRO
SELL
GENTING, CIMB, TENAGA
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
PMETAL (8869)
18/9/2013
RM2.09
ACCUMULATE
RM2.87
Share price has drifted lower from the RM2.42 level over the past 2 months & has consolidated for the past 3 weeks around RM2.10. It’s now trading at attractive multiples of c4.5-5.2x for FY14-15. Co recently announced its final asset settlement agreement with its China partners, the move of which will see Co disposing the Chinese smelter business which has been loss making, and at the same time retain its downstream aluminium extrusion business which is profitable. This move is considered positive as the Chinese smeltering business has been hit by unfavorable costs. The high power tariff scenario in China is likely to worsen. The Mukah plant is expected to resume production by year end & Co is likely to see compensation from the insurance claims as well. The state of the art 400kA smelting technology of its smelter plant in Samalaju is set to propel earnings – Accumulate TP RM2.87 ( 7x FY14 EPS ).
(AK)
 
 
CARLSBG (2836)
18/9/2013
RM12.86
TRIM
RM11.70
Share price has fallen c12% since it’s 1H/FY13 results, which was surprisingly poor, dragged down by Singapore’s poor showing  due to stiff competition  and costs incurred by stock rationalisation. It has since consolidated around the RM12.80 level for the past 3 weeks. We have qualms about the outlook for the sector as industry volume in the malt liquor market ( MLM ) may pull back on potential excise duty hike in Budget 2014. Valuations are looking more demanding, as in a rising bond yield environment, we see Cos that offer high dividend but which have limited growth opportunities do not deserve high valuation premiums. Rising bond yields are taking the shine off sin stocks. Trading at PEs of 21.2x & 19.6x for FY13 & 14, Trim on the back of concerns regarding Singapore operations & sector headwinds. (Possible buyback at RM11.70, 18x FY14 EPS).
(AK)
 
 
Calls for  SEPT Week 2/ Week 3
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
HLI (3301)
9/9/2013
RM5.14
ACCUMULATE
RM6.00
RM5.64
+10.1%
CIMB (1023)
9/9/2013
RM7.19
ACCUMULATE
RM8.50
RM7.58
+5.2%
HARTA (5168)
10/9/2013
RM7.04
SELL into strength
RM6.20
RM7.19
+2.1%
TROP (5401)
10/9/2013
RM1.56
Trading BUY
RM1.89
RM1.54
-1.3%
KIMLUN (5171)
11/9/2013
RM1.92
BUY
RM2.34
RM1.94
+1.0%
HUAYANG (5062)
11/9/2013
RM2.73
ACCUMULATE
RM3.55
RM2.77
+1.4%
MAS (3786)
12/9/2013
RM0.32
Trading BUY
RM0.38
RM0.32
0.0%
AIRPORT (5014)
12/9/2013
RM7.10
SELL into strength
RM6.54
RM7.30
+2.8%
UZMA (7250)
13/9/2013
RM4.57
SELL
RM3.85
RM4.49
-1.8%
IJM (3336)
13/9/2013
RM5.57
BUY
RM6.50
RM5.57
0.0%
CMSB (2852)
17/9/2013
RM4.59
BUY
RM4.98
RM4.74
+3.2%
UMW (4588)
17/9/2013
RM12.26
ACCUMULATE
RM13.10
RM12.38
+0.9%

 

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY